Webuild Valuation

Is IPJ1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IPJ1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IPJ1 (€2.69) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IPJ1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IPJ1?

Key metric: As IPJ1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for IPJ1. This is calculated by dividing IPJ1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is IPJ1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.8x
Earnings€177.95m
Market Cap€2.64b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IPJ1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IPJ1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average90.1x
NCH2 thyssenkrupp nucera KGaA
187.6x55.9%€1.1b
HOT HOCHTIEF
12.3x2.5%€8.9b
B5A0 BAUER
33.7x38.2%€174.3m
NDX1 Nordex
126.7x64.0%€2.8b
IPJ1 Webuild
14.7x26.9%€2.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IPJ1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the peer average (90.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IPJ1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IPJ1 14.8xIndustry Avg. 13.1xNo. of Companies17PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IPJ1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the European Construction industry average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IPJ1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IPJ1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.8x
Fair PE Ratio22.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: IPJ1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IPJ1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.70
€2.97
+9.8%
11.1%€3.30€2.35n/a5
Nov ’25€2.60
€2.97
+14.4%
11.1%€3.30€2.35n/a5
Oct ’25€2.47
€2.97
+20.2%
11.1%€3.30€2.35n/a5
Sep ’25€2.45
€2.97
+21.1%
11.1%€3.30€2.35n/a5
Aug ’25€2.32
€2.97
+28.0%
11.1%€3.30€2.35n/a5
Jul ’25€1.98
€2.75
+39.2%
16.3%€3.30€2.10n/a5
Jun ’25€2.00
€2.75
+37.7%
16.3%€3.30€2.10n/a5
May ’25€2.26
€2.75
+21.9%
16.3%€3.30€2.10n/a5
Apr ’25€2.13
€2.75
+28.9%
16.3%€3.30€2.10n/a5
Mar ’25€1.95
€2.38
+22.0%
13.8%€2.90€2.10n/a4
Feb ’25€1.91
€2.38
+24.3%
13.8%€2.90€2.10n/a4
Jan ’25€1.78
€2.38
+33.2%
13.8%€2.90€2.10n/a4
Dec ’24€1.79
€2.38
+33.0%
13.8%€2.90€2.10n/a4
Nov ’24€1.64
€2.38
+44.6%
13.8%€2.90€2.10€2.604
Oct ’24€1.63
€2.38
+45.5%
13.8%€2.90€2.10€2.474
Sep ’24€1.83
€2.38
+29.6%
13.8%€2.90€2.10€2.454
Aug ’24€1.75
€2.38
+35.6%
13.8%€2.90€2.10€2.324
Jul ’24€1.70
€2.38
+39.9%
13.8%€2.90€2.10€1.984
Jun ’24€1.80
€2.38
+31.9%
13.8%€2.90€2.10€2.004
May ’24€1.97
€2.38
+20.4%
13.8%€2.90€2.10€2.264
Apr ’24€2.06
€2.38
+15.4%
13.8%€2.90€2.10€2.134
Mar ’24€1.72
€2.09
+21.5%
9.3%€2.35€1.90€1.954
Feb ’24€1.62
€2.09
+29.2%
9.3%€2.35€1.90€1.914
Jan ’24€1.37
€2.15
+57.2%
8.7%€2.35€1.90€1.783
Dec ’23€1.48
€2.15
+45.2%
8.7%€2.35€1.90€1.793
Nov ’23€1.37
€2.15
+57.0%
8.7%€2.35€1.90€1.643

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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