Illinois Tool Works Valuation

Is ILT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ILT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ILT (€232.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€229.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ILT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ILT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ILT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA18.2x
PEG Ratio4.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ILT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ILT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.4x
RAA RATIONAL
42.3x8.1%€9.1b
G1A GEA Group
16.3x4.9%€6.6b
KRN Krones
17.4x15.2%€3.9b
GIL DMG MORI
53.7xn/a€3.5b
ILT Illinois Tool Works
25.1x5.6%€74.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ILT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.1x) compared to the peer average (32.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ILT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ILT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.1x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ILT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ILT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.1x
Fair PE Ratio21.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ILT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ILT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€232.60
€235.94
+1.4%
9.0%€283.12€197.16n/a19
Apr ’25€249.30
€231.04
-7.3%
9.6%€280.40€185.08n/a19
Mar ’25€243.80
€226.55
-7.1%
9.0%€262.77€184.40n/a17
Feb ’25€242.80
€225.88
-7.0%
9.7%€263.14€177.27n/a17
Jan ’25€236.30
€216.12
-8.5%
9.5%€253.29€169.16n/a17
Dec ’24€221.70
€217.13
-2.1%
8.1%€243.33€173.14n/a18
Nov ’24€212.40
€220.46
+3.8%
8.3%€246.04€175.07n/a18
Oct ’24€222.00
€230.26
+3.7%
9.3%€252.25€174.20n/a19
Sep ’24€230.00
€227.07
-1.3%
9.2%€270.19€173.96n/a20
Aug ’24€239.40
€220.66
-7.8%
9.5%€265.87€166.62n/a20
Jul ’24€228.00
€219.67
-3.7%
9.7%€258.55€168.38n/a20
Jun ’24€204.40
€222.18
+8.7%
10.0%€262.93€174.04n/a20
May ’24€217.70
€215.89
-0.8%
10.3%€255.92€166.07n/a19
Apr ’24€219.60
€224.96
+2.4%
11.2%€265.84€172.51€249.3019
Mar ’24€218.00
€224.96
+3.2%
11.2%€265.84€172.51€243.8019
Feb ’24€217.65
€198.74
-8.7%
11.4%€238.36€156.45€242.8019
Jan ’24€207.30
€197.70
-4.6%
11.3%€229.05€161.18€236.3019
Dec ’23€217.00
€194.66
-10.3%
10.8%€234.42€164.96€221.7018
Nov ’23€215.90
€201.55
-6.6%
10.2%€243.80€171.56€212.4018
Oct ’23€188.86
€204.33
+8.2%
8.3%€236.64€176.48€222.0018
Sep ’23€195.98
€204.33
+4.3%
8.3%€236.64€176.48€230.0018
Aug ’23€202.05
€190.84
-5.5%
10.7%€240.61€159.43€239.4017
Jul ’23€172.96
€208.81
+20.7%
11.2%€249.93€172.37€228.0017
Jun ’23€194.72
€205.41
+5.5%
10.3%€243.17€167.71€204.4017
May ’23€192.20
€211.34
+10.0%
8.7%€249.19€183.86€217.7018
Apr ’23€189.15
€216.36
+14.4%
8.6%€268.03€185.63€219.6018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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