Graco Inc.

DB:GA8 Stock Report

Market Cap: €14.9b

Graco Valuation

Is GA8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GA8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GA8 (€87.3) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€83.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GA8 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GA8?

Key metric: As GA8 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GA8. This is calculated by dividing GA8's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GA8's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.4x
EarningsUS$487.33m
Market CapUS$15.58b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GA8's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GA8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.8x
RAA RATIONAL
43.4x6.9%€10.2b
G1A GEA Group
18.9x8.3%€7.7b
GIL DMG MORI
22.2xn/a€3.6b
KRN Krones
14.7x16.2%€3.7b
GA8 Graco
31.4x8.8%€15.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GA8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.4x) compared to the peer average (24.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GA8's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
GA8 31.4xIndustry Avg. 14.8xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GA8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.4x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (14.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GA8's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GA8 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GA8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GA8 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€87.30
€79.51
-8.9%
8.4%€92.45€72.11n/a8
Nov ’25€74.36
€79.51
+6.9%
8.4%€92.45€72.11n/a8
Oct ’25€77.78
€78.70
+1.2%
8.6%€90.72€70.76n/a8
Sep ’25€73.76
€78.70
+6.7%
8.6%€90.72€70.76n/a8
Aug ’25€77.90
€80.20
+2.9%
8.1%€92.39€72.06n/a9
Jul ’25€73.08
€82.29
+12.6%
9.1%€96.28€72.91n/a9
Jun ’25€72.36
€82.29
+13.7%
9.1%€96.28€72.91n/a9
May ’25€75.86
€82.29
+8.5%
9.1%€96.28€72.91n/a9
Apr ’25€86.20
€81.58
-5.4%
6.5%€92.80€74.24n/a9
Mar ’25€83.74
€81.58
-2.6%
6.5%€92.80€74.24n/a9
Feb ’25€78.34
€80.31
+2.5%
6.9%€92.00€73.60n/a9
Jan ’25€77.82
€75.08
-3.5%
7.6%€82.80€68.24n/a9
Dec ’24€75.04
€77.96
+3.9%
8.0%€86.12€70.98n/a8
Nov ’24€69.68
€77.96
+11.9%
8.0%€86.12€70.98€74.368
Oct ’24€68.52
€76.97
+12.3%
8.5%€86.17€68.03€77.787
Sep ’24€72.24
€76.97
+6.6%
8.5%€86.17€68.03€73.767
Aug ’24€71.44
€76.97
+7.7%
8.5%€86.17€68.03€77.907
Jul ’24€78.12
€75.32
-3.6%
7.6%€81.68€68.06€73.087
Jun ’24€72.18
€75.32
+4.4%
7.6%€81.68€68.06€72.367
May ’24€69.76
€75.32
+8.0%
7.6%€81.68€68.06€75.867
Apr ’24€65.26
€71.10
+8.9%
6.1%€76.42€65.24€86.207
Mar ’24€65.02
€70.94
+9.1%
5.4%€76.83€65.58€83.747
Feb ’24€61.94
€67.36
+8.8%
4.8%€72.82€63.72€78.347
Jan ’24€62.90
€67.63
+7.5%
5.7%€74.88€61.78€77.828
Dec ’23€66.26
€69.27
+4.5%
6.4%€77.23€63.72€75.048
Nov ’23€69.78
€72.25
+3.5%
6.0%€80.98€66.81€69.688

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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