Graco Inc.

DB:GA8 Stock Report

Market Cap: €13.9b

Graco Valuation

Is GA8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GA8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€102.54
Fair Value
21.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: GA8 (€80.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€102.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GA8 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GA8?

Key metric: As GA8 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GA8. This is calculated by dividing GA8's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GA8's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29x
EarningsUS$486.08m
Market CapUS$14.26b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GA8's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GA8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.9x
G1A GEA Group
20.6x9.0%€8.3b
RAA RATIONAL
40.5x7.2%€9.5b
GIL DMG MORI
22.4xn/a€3.6b
KRN Krones
16x16.0%€4.0b
GA8 Graco
29x8.9%€14.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GA8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the peer average (24.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GA8's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
GA8 29.0xIndustry Avg. 16.1xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GA8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (16.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GA8's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GA8 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29x
Fair PE Ratio17.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GA8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GA8 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€80.68
€87.93
+9.0%
9.3%€100.91€75.92n/a8
Jan ’26€80.04
€87.17
+8.9%
10.7%€101.27€75.23n/a8
Dec ’25€85.70
€79.43
-7.3%
8.4%€92.36€72.04n/a8
Nov ’25€74.36
€79.43
+6.8%
8.4%€92.36€72.04n/a8
Oct ’25€77.78
€78.70
+1.2%
8.6%€90.72€70.76n/a8
Sep ’25€73.76
€78.70
+6.7%
8.6%€90.72€70.76n/a8
Aug ’25€77.90
€80.20
+2.9%
8.1%€92.39€72.06n/a9
Jul ’25€73.08
€82.29
+12.6%
9.1%€96.28€72.91n/a9
Jun ’25€72.36
€82.29
+13.7%
9.1%€96.28€72.91n/a9
May ’25€75.86
€82.29
+8.5%
9.1%€96.28€72.91n/a9
Apr ’25€86.20
€81.58
-5.4%
6.5%€92.80€74.24n/a9
Mar ’25€83.74
€81.58
-2.6%
6.5%€92.80€74.24n/a9
Feb ’25€78.34
€80.31
+2.5%
6.9%€92.00€73.60€80.489
Jan ’25€77.82
€75.08
-3.5%
7.6%€82.80€68.24€80.049
Dec ’24€75.04
€77.96
+3.9%
8.0%€86.12€70.98€85.708
Nov ’24€69.68
€77.96
+11.9%
8.0%€86.12€70.98€74.368
Oct ’24€68.52
€76.97
+12.3%
8.5%€86.17€68.03€77.787
Sep ’24€72.24
€76.97
+6.6%
8.5%€86.17€68.03€73.767
Aug ’24€71.44
€76.97
+7.7%
8.5%€86.17€68.03€77.907
Jul ’24€78.12
€75.32
-3.6%
7.6%€81.68€68.06€73.087
Jun ’24€72.18
€75.32
+4.4%
7.6%€81.68€68.06€72.367
May ’24€69.76
€75.32
+8.0%
7.6%€81.68€68.06€75.867
Apr ’24€65.26
€71.10
+8.9%
6.1%€76.42€65.24€86.207
Mar ’24€65.02
€70.94
+9.1%
5.4%€76.83€65.58€83.747
Feb ’24€61.94
€67.36
+8.8%
4.8%€72.82€63.72€78.347
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
€88.61
Fair Value
9.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/03 19:50
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/03 00:00
Earnings2024/12/27
Annual Earnings2024/12/27

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Graco Inc. is covered by 24 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael HalloranBaird
Andrew BuscagliaBerenberg
Charles BradyBMO Capital Markets Equity Research