The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.

DB:G90 Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.0b

Greenbrier Companies Valuation

Is G90 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of G90 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€18.91
Fair Value
241.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: G90 (€64.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€18.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: G90 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for G90?

Key metric: As G90 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for G90. This is calculated by dividing G90's market cap by their current earnings.
What is G90's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
EarningsUS$184.20m
Market CapUS$2.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does G90's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for G90 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.8x
R3NK RENK Group
120.1x38.6%€2.5b
JUN3 Jungheinrich
9x6.8%€2.5b
WAC Wacker Neuson
13.7x29.0%€1.1b
VOS Vossloh
16.2x11.8%€916.8m
G90 Greenbrier Companies
11.3x3.4%€2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: G90 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (39.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does G90's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
G90 11.3xIndustry Avg. 16.7xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: G90 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (16.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is G90's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

G90 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio13x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: G90 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst G90 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€64.50
€66.49
+3.1%
9.5%€72.80€60.18n/a2
Jan ’26€58.50
€59.19
+1.2%
4.0%€61.56€56.82n/a2
Dec ’25€64.00
€59.19
-7.5%
4.0%€61.56€56.82n/a2
Nov ’25€53.50
€53.11
-0.7%
13.0%€60.03€46.18n/a2
Oct ’25€45.00
€48.50
+7.8%
20.0%€58.20€38.80n/a2
Sep ’25€42.80
€48.50
+13.3%
20.0%€58.20€38.80n/a2
Aug ’25€46.60
€48.50
+4.1%
20.0%€58.20€38.80n/a2
Jul ’25€45.20
€53.60
+18.6%
8.0%€57.89€47.78n/a3
Jun ’25€49.60
€55.27
+11.4%
8.2%€59.87€47.90n/a4
May ’25€46.40
€55.27
+19.1%
8.2%€59.87€47.90n/a4
Apr ’25€48.00
€48.36
+0.7%
8.6%€51.58€41.45n/a4
Mar ’25€46.60
€47.06
+1.0%
10.4%€51.87€40.76n/a5
Feb ’25€41.20
€46.33
+12.5%
10.4%€51.07€40.13€64.505
Jan ’25€39.80
€41.45
+4.2%
13.9%€48.27€32.18€58.505
Dec ’24€34.20
€41.45
+21.2%
13.9%€48.27€32.18€64.005
Nov ’24€32.20
€41.45
+28.7%
13.9%€48.27€32.18€53.505
Oct ’24€38.20
€42.39
+11.0%
9.2%€47.83€37.51€45.005
Sep ’24€38.80
€41.32
+6.5%
8.5%€45.42€35.62€42.805
Aug ’24€41.40
€41.32
-0.2%
8.5%€45.42€35.62€46.605
Jul ’24€38.80
€42.52
+9.6%
8.5%€46.74€36.66€45.205
Jun ’24€25.00
€34.03
+36.1%
13.6%€42.54€29.87€49.605
May ’24€23.80
€34.03
+43.0%
13.6%€42.54€29.87€46.405
Apr ’24€28.80
€33.19
+15.2%
17.3%€43.33€27.66€48.005
Mar ’24€29.80
€32.31
+8.4%
20.4%€43.38€24.00€46.605
Feb ’24€28.00
€32.31
+15.4%
20.4%€43.38€24.00€41.205
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
€66.68
Fair Value
3.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/02 12:45
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/11/30
Annual Earnings2024/08/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kristine KubackiAvondale Partners
Kenneth HoexterBofA Global Research
Matthew BrooklierBuckingham Research Group Inc.