Budimex Valuation

Is FBF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FBF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FBF (€108.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€155.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FBF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FBF?

Key metric: As FBF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FBF. This is calculated by dividing FBF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FBF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.5x
Earningszł734.85m
Market Capzł12.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FBF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FBF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average90.2x
HOT HOCHTIEF
12.1x2.5%€8.8b
NCH2 thyssenkrupp nucera KGaA
189.7x55.9%€1.1b
B5A0 BAUER
31.9x38.2%€174.3m
NDX1 Nordex
127.3x63.7%€2.8b
FBF Budimex
16.5x7.7%€12.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FBF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the peer average (89.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FBF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FBF 16.5xIndustry Avg. 13.1xNo. of Companies20PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FBF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the European Construction industry average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FBF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FBF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.5x
Fair PE Ratio14.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FBF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FBF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€108.80
€138.77
+27.5%
15.0%€169.63€105.03n/a5
Nov ’25€117.50
€140.43
+19.5%
15.3%€167.67€103.82n/a5
Oct ’25€138.50
€141.71
+2.3%
16.4%€170.19€101.18n/a5
Sep ’25€137.10
€137.55
+0.3%
17.6%€170.01€101.08n/a5
Aug ’25€147.00
€137.55
-6.4%
17.6%€170.01€101.08n/a5
Jul ’25€161.10
€138.07
-14.3%
17.6%€170.65€101.46n/a5
Jun ’25€174.30
€138.07
-20.8%
17.6%€170.65€101.46n/a5
May ’25€159.30
€118.56
-25.6%
22.1%€168.33€97.94n/a5
Apr ’25€160.60
€106.12
-33.9%
7.6%€121.11€98.17n/a5
Mar ’25€167.40
€106.12
-36.6%
7.6%€121.11€98.17n/a5
Feb ’25€156.00
€101.69
-34.8%
13.6%€120.90€78.45n/a5
Jan ’25€144.20
€101.69
-29.5%
13.6%€120.90€78.45n/a5
Dec ’24€123.60
€96.30
-22.1%
10.7%€103.52€76.51n/a5
Nov ’24€103.80
€93.21
-10.2%
10.3%€101.37€74.93€117.505
Oct ’24€91.70
€92.15
+0.5%
9.9%€99.60€74.43€138.505
Sep ’24€100.60
€93.98
-6.6%
11.1%€101.81€76.08€137.104
Aug ’24€95.60
€86.92
-9.1%
11.4%€103.33€77.21€147.004
Jul ’24€80.90
€74.08
-8.4%
13.6%€82.90€59.97€161.103
Jun ’24€74.20
€74.08
-0.2%
13.6%€82.90€59.97€174.303
May ’24€80.20
€72.15
-10.0%
13.3%€81.55€58.99€159.303
Apr ’24€67.50
€64.77
-4.0%
11.1%€74.74€58.08€160.603
Mar ’24€59.60
€59.65
+0.08%
3.4%€61.74€56.93€167.403
Feb ’24€58.80
€60.42
+2.7%
4.5%€63.05€56.64€156.003
Jan ’24€58.90
€60.42
+2.6%
4.5%€63.05€56.64€144.203
Dec ’23€57.70
€59.34
+2.8%
3.7%€61.11€56.23€123.603
Nov ’23€51.70
€56.64
+9.6%
3.8%€59.68€54.91€103.803

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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