Lonking Holdings Limited

DB:C9IB Stock Report

Market Cap: €749.8m

Lonking Holdings Valuation

Is C9IB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of C9IB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: C9IB (€0.16) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: C9IB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for C9IB?

Key metric: As C9IB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for C9IB. This is calculated by dividing C9IB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is C9IB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.1x
EarningsCN¥796.39m
Market CapCN¥5.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does C9IB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for C9IB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.3x
JST JOST Werke
17.1x24.1%€622.1m
VOS Vossloh
14x10.6%€792.1m
WAC Wacker Neuson
10.9x30.8%€886.9m
DEZ DEUTZ
11.2x47.9%€557.0m
C9IB Lonking Holdings
7.1x6.5%€6.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: C9IB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the peer average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does C9IB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
C9IB 7.1xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: C9IB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (14.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is C9IB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

C9IB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.1x
Fair PE Ratio13.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: C9IB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst C9IB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.16
€0.19
+18.9%
2.9%€0.20€0.18n/a3
Nov ’25€0.16
€0.19
+17.4%
2.9%€0.20€0.18n/a3
Oct ’25€0.18
€0.19
+7.4%
2.9%€0.20€0.18n/a3
Sep ’25€0.15
€0.18
+19.7%
8.0%€0.20€0.16n/a3
Aug ’25€0.17
€0.19
+10.3%
8.0%€0.20€0.17n/a3
Jul ’25€0.16
€0.16
+3.3%
22.0%€0.20€0.12n/a3
Jun ’25€0.16
€0.16
+2.0%
22.0%€0.20€0.12n/a3
May ’25€0.16
€0.16
+3.3%
22.0%€0.20€0.12n/a3
Apr ’25€0.15
€0.14
-7.0%
14.5%€0.16€0.11n/a3
Mar ’25€0.14
€0.15
+5.6%
12.7%€0.17€0.12n/a4
Feb ’25€0.13
€0.15
+10.2%
12.7%€0.16€0.11n/a4
Jan ’25€0.13
€0.15
+17.8%
13.1%€0.17€0.11n/a4
Dec ’24€0.13
€0.15
+17.8%
13.1%€0.17€0.11n/a4
Nov ’24€0.13
€0.16
+23.4%
21.7%€0.21€0.12€0.164
Oct ’24€0.15
€0.16
+7.8%
21.7%€0.21€0.12€0.184
Sep ’24€0.14
€0.16
+15.6%
17.9%€0.21€0.11€0.155
Aug ’24€0.15
€0.16
+8.6%
17.9%€0.21€0.11€0.175
Jul ’24€0.14
€0.16
+20.1%
17.9%€0.21€0.12€0.165
Jun ’24€0.12
€0.16
+37.5%
17.7%€0.21€0.12€0.165
May ’24€0.14
€0.16
+13.4%
27.2%€0.22€0.098€0.164
Apr ’24€0.15
€0.16
+6.7%
27.2%€0.22€0.098€0.154
Mar ’24€0.16
€0.17
+1.3%
26.7%€0.22€0.099€0.144
Feb ’24€0.17
€0.17
-5.0%
27.0%€0.22€0.10€0.134
Jan ’24€0.15
€0.15
+0.1%
19.3%€0.18€0.099€0.135
Dec ’23€0.15
€0.15
-3.9%
15.3%€0.16€0.10€0.135
Nov ’23€0.13
€0.15
+16.6%
15.3%€0.16€0.10€0.135

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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