Cargotec Valuation

Is C1C1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of C1C1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: C1C1 (€51.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€64.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: C1C1 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for C1C1?

Key metric: As C1C1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for C1C1. This is calculated by dividing C1C1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is C1C1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10x
Earnings€334.40m
Market Cap€3.35b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does C1C1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for C1C1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.8x
KRN Krones
14.9x16.2%€3.7b
GIL DMG MORI
22xn/a€3.5b
DUE Dürr
17.7x28.1%€1.5b
PFV Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology
24.6xn/a€1.5b
C1C1 Cargotec
10x-5.5%€3.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: C1C1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (19.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does C1C1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
C1C1 10.0xIndustry Avg. 14.9xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: C1C1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (14.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is C1C1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

C1C1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ratio12.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: C1C1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst C1C1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€51.90
€55.00
+6.0%
7.0%€60.00€51.00n/a5
Nov ’25€55.60
€53.20
-4.3%
6.9%€60.00€50.00n/a5
Oct ’25€52.45
€48.40
-7.7%
6.2%€53.00€44.00n/a5
Sep ’25€47.20
€48.40
+2.5%
6.2%€53.00€44.00n/a5
Aug ’25€47.14
€64.25
+36.3%
29.6%€85.00€39.00n/a4
Jul ’25€75.10
€74.00
-1.5%
27.4%€88.00€39.00n/a4
Jun ’25€76.30
€78.25
+2.6%
10.8%€88.00€68.00n/a4
May ’25€70.05
€74.20
+5.9%
13.9%€88.00€62.00n/a5
Apr ’25€64.00
€68.80
+7.5%
7.1%€77.00€62.00n/a5
Mar ’25€62.60
€66.40
+6.1%
4.1%€70.00€62.00n/a5
Feb ’25€56.20
€63.20
+12.5%
5.4%€66.00€57.00n/a5
Jan ’25€53.05
€55.00
+3.7%
3.4%€57.00€52.00n/a5
Dec ’24€46.38
€53.40
+15.1%
5.1%€57.00€49.00n/a5
Nov ’24€37.38
€54.60
+46.1%
7.6%€61.00€49.00€55.605
Oct ’24€39.14
€57.80
+47.7%
4.4%€61.00€54.00€52.455
Sep ’24€43.28
€58.25
+34.6%
4.6%€61.00€54.00€47.204
Aug ’24€43.28
€58.25
+34.6%
4.6%€61.00€54.00€47.144
Jul ’24€49.96
€65.75
+31.6%
13.1%€80.00€58.00€75.104
Jun ’24€50.15
€62.20
+24.0%
16.8%€80.00€48.00€76.305
May ’24€52.05
€55.20
+6.1%
17.4%€65.00€37.00€70.055
Apr ’24€44.54
€50.67
+13.8%
13.8%€57.00€37.00€64.006
Mar ’24€48.16
€50.67
+5.2%
13.8%€57.00€37.00€62.606
Feb ’24€46.54
€47.67
+2.4%
15.2%€57.00€37.00€56.206
Jan ’24€41.96
€43.17
+2.9%
9.4%€48.00€37.00€53.056
Dec ’23€39.88
€43.17
+8.2%
9.4%€48.00€37.00€46.386
Nov ’23€38.32
€42.00
+9.6%
14.6%€48.00€30.00€37.386

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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