PT Astra International Tbk

DB:ASJA Stock Report

Market Cap: €11.7b

Astra International Valuation

Is ASJA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ASJA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ASJA (€0.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ASJA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ASJA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ASJA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.1x
PEG Ratio-4.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ASJA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ASJA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22x
SIE Siemens
15.8x3.8%€139.3b
MBB MBB
48.6x29.9%€589.9m
INH INDUS Holding
8.4x10.2%€702.0m
BNR Brenntag
15.2x7.7%€10.9b
ASJA Astra International
6x-1.3%€203.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ASJA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the peer average (22x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ASJA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Industrials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ASJA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the European Industrials industry average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ASJA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ASJA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6x
Fair PE Ratio20x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ASJA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ASJA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.30
€0.35
+17.1%
15.8%€0.44€0.25n/a23
Apr ’25€0.31
€0.36
+16.9%
15.8%€0.45€0.26n/a22
Mar ’25€0.29
€0.37
+27.7%
14.8%€0.45€0.27n/a22
Feb ’25€0.29
€0.39
+34.8%
16.2%€0.50€0.27n/a23
Jan ’25€0.32
€0.42
+32.9%
10.3%€0.50€0.32n/a19
Dec ’24€0.32
€0.42
+32.7%
10.5%€0.50€0.32n/a17
Nov ’24€0.33
€0.44
+31.6%
10.2%€0.51€0.33n/a17
Oct ’24€0.37
€0.46
+24.8%
8.0%€0.51€0.34n/a16
Sep ’24€0.38
€0.46
+20.2%
4.3%€0.51€0.42n/a16
Aug ’24€0.40
€0.45
+13.3%
4.7%€0.51€0.42n/a17
Jul ’24€0.40
€0.46
+13.9%
8.6%€0.58€0.40n/a18
Jun ’24€0.39
€0.46
+19.5%
9.8%€0.59€0.39n/a18
May ’24€0.42
€0.45
+6.0%
12.1%€0.59€0.31n/a19
Apr ’24€0.36
€0.45
+25.7%
12.1%€0.58€0.31€0.3119
Mar ’24€0.37
€0.46
+24.3%
12.4%€0.59€0.31€0.2920
Feb ’24€0.35
€0.45
+27.2%
12.7%€0.58€0.31€0.2919
Jan ’24€0.33
€0.46
+39.2%
13.2%€0.58€0.30€0.3219
Dec ’23€0.37
€0.47
+25.7%
12.6%€0.58€0.31€0.3219
Nov ’23€0.41
€0.52
+26.3%
12.0%€0.63€0.33€0.3319
Oct ’23€0.43
€0.52
+21.1%
11.9%€0.63€0.33€0.3719
Sep ’23€0.46
€0.52
+14.3%
13.1%€0.63€0.33€0.3819
Aug ’23€0.40
€0.51
+26.1%
12.9%€0.63€0.33€0.4020
Jul ’23€0.41
€0.50
+21.1%
12.6%€0.61€0.32€0.4021
Jun ’23€0.45
€0.49
+8.5%
12.4%€0.61€0.32€0.3922
May ’23€0.48
€0.48
-0.6%
11.2%€0.54€0.33€0.4221
Apr ’23€0.40
€0.45
+12.0%
10.9%€0.52€0.32€0.3621

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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