Acuity Brands Valuation

Is AQ8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AQ8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AQ8 (€310) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€387.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AQ8 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AQ8?

Key metric: As AQ8 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AQ8. This is calculated by dividing AQ8's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AQ8's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.6x
EarningsUS$422.60m
Market CapUS$9.96b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AQ8's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AQ8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.4x
OSR OSRAM Licht
80.9xn/a€4.8b
SGL SGL Carbon
7.9x17.7%€552.7m
F3C SFC Energy
12.9x1.2%€309.8m
BNR Brenntag
15.8x15.9%€8.6b
AQ8 Acuity Brands
23.6x8.8%€10.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AQ8 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x) compared to the peer average (29.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AQ8's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electrical Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AQ8 23.6xIndustry Avg. 17.0xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AQ8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x) compared to the European Electrical industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AQ8's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AQ8 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.6x
Fair PE Ratio17.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AQ8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AQ8 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€310.00
€304.99
-1.6%
6.9%€348.47€285.37n/a6
Nov ’25€276.00
€295.24
+7.0%
7.5%€341.73€277.08n/a6
Oct ’25€266.00
€278.73
+4.8%
10.2%€334.26€240.99n/a7
Sep ’25€224.00
€264.68
+18.2%
8.1%€300.59€242.71n/a7
Aug ’25€232.00
€264.68
+14.1%
8.1%€300.59€242.71n/a7
Jul ’25€224.00
€264.68
+18.2%
8.1%€300.59€242.71n/a7
Jun ’25€236.00
€271.11
+14.9%
7.2%€300.17€243.30n/a7
May ’25€236.00
€267.91
+13.5%
8.5%€302.26€232.33n/a8
Apr ’25€246.00
€233.88
-4.9%
7.1%€264.06€209.59n/a8
Mar ’25€232.00
€225.01
-3.0%
5.5%€239.93€209.48n/a6
Feb ’25€220.00
€212.99
-3.2%
12.3%€237.38€155.21n/a7
Jan ’25€185.00
€176.47
-4.6%
10.8%€215.00€154.87n/a7
Dec ’24€164.00
€178.75
+9.0%
6.7%€199.06€161.14n/a7
Nov ’24€153.00
€178.75
+16.8%
6.7%€199.06€161.14€276.007
Oct ’24€160.00
€170.55
+6.6%
7.4%€196.94€159.43€266.007
Sep ’24€148.00
€167.31
+13.0%
7.1%€192.44€155.79€224.007
Aug ’24€150.00
€167.31
+11.5%
7.1%€192.44€155.79€232.007
Jul ’24€149.00
€167.31
+12.3%
7.1%€192.44€155.79€224.007
Jun ’24€141.00
€170.97
+21.3%
7.0%€196.50€159.07€236.007
May ’24€140.00
€168.00
+20.0%
7.5%€192.61€155.92€236.006
Apr ’24€164.00
€180.11
+9.8%
4.7%€193.31€165.69€246.006
Mar ’24€182.00
€181.95
-0.03%
4.8%€195.62€167.67€232.006
Feb ’24€173.00
€181.95
+5.2%
4.8%€195.62€167.67€220.006
Jan ’24€156.00
€182.55
+17.0%
6.9%€198.11€160.38€185.006
Dec ’23€180.00
€188.41
+4.7%
6.9%€202.73€164.12€164.006
Nov ’23€185.00
€195.99
+5.9%
6.4%€210.15€170.12€153.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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