Grenevia S.A.

DB:8MF Stock Report

Market Cap: €259.9m

Grenevia Valuation

Is 8MF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8MF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8MF (€0.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8MF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8MF?

Key metric: As 8MF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8MF. This is calculated by dividing 8MF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8MF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio3.9x
Earningszł284.00m
Market Capzł1.12b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8MF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8MF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.4x
DEZ DEUTZ
11.2x47.9%€553.1m
JST JOST Werke
17.3x24.1%€631.0m
VOS Vossloh
14x8.0%€796.0m
WAC Wacker Neuson
11.1x30.8%€906.0m
8MF Grenevia
3.9x-23.4%€1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8MF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.9x) compared to the peer average (13.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8MF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
8MF 3.9xIndustry Avg. 14.6xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8MF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.9x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (14.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8MF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8MF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.9x
Fair PE Ratio5.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8MF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8MF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.44
€0.67
+53.0%
20.5%€0.90€0.53n/a4
Nov ’25€0.39
€0.69
+76.3%
20.5%€0.91€0.54n/a4
Oct ’25€0.47
€0.69
+45.0%
20.5%€0.91€0.54n/a4
Sep ’25€0.48
€0.68
+41.5%
20.7%€0.91€0.54n/a4
Aug ’25€0.51
€0.79
+56.8%
20.7%€1.00€0.60n/a4
Jul ’25€0.58
€0.81
+39.3%
18.9%€1.01€0.65n/a4
Jun ’25€0.56
€0.81
+45.1%
18.9%€1.01€0.65n/a4
May ’25€0.56
€0.83
+47.3%
20.3%€1.00€0.65n/a4
Apr ’25€0.70
€0.90
+28.2%
16.3%€0.99€0.65n/a4
Mar ’25€0.72
€0.92
+28.6%
17.5%€1.06€0.65n/a4
Feb ’25€0.68
€0.92
+34.8%
17.5%€1.06€0.65n/a4
Jan ’25€0.76
€0.92
+21.1%
17.5%€1.06€0.65n/a4
Dec ’24€0.71
€0.91
+27.3%
19.9%€1.05€0.60n/a4
Nov ’24€0.66
€0.87
+32.5%
18.8%€0.97€0.59€0.394
Oct ’24€0.60
€0.94
+56.7%
0.7%€0.94€0.93€0.473
Sep ’24€0.76
€0.91
+19.3%
6.5%€0.96€0.83€0.483
Aug ’24€0.83
€0.90
+8.7%
6.5%€0.95€0.82€0.513
Jul ’24€0.73
€0.90
+22.9%
6.5%€0.95€0.82€0.583
Jun ’24€0.69
€0.90
+29.2%
6.5%€0.95€0.82€0.563
May ’24€0.74
€0.86
+16.4%
6.3%€0.94€0.81€0.563
Apr ’24€0.81
€0.84
+3.3%
6.3%€0.91€0.79€0.703
Mar ’24€0.81
€0.84
+3.8%
6.3%€0.91€0.79€0.723
Feb ’24€0.77
€0.82
+7.0%
3.9%€0.86€0.78€0.683
Jan ’24€0.69
€0.83
+20.6%
3.9%€0.87€0.79€0.763
Dec ’23€0.73
€0.83
+13.9%
3.9%€0.87€0.79€0.713
Nov ’23€0.65
€0.77
+18.4%
7.4%€0.86€0.72€0.664

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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