APi Group Corporation

DB:4XY Stock Report

Market Cap: €9.8b

APi Group Valuation

Is 4XY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4XY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€55.90
Fair Value
37.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 4XY (€35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€55.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4XY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4XY?

Key metric: As 4XY is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 4XY. This is calculated by dividing 4XY's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 4XY's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.4x
SalesUS$6.92b
Market CapUS$10.08b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4XY's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4XY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.5x
HOT HOCHTIEF
0.3x6.3%€10.0b
NCH2 thyssenkrupp nucera KGaA
1.5x12.5%€1.3b
B5A0 BAUER
0.1x3.2%€195.8m
RAA RATIONAL
8x7.8%€9.3b
4XY APi Group
1.4x5.5%€10.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4XY is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (2.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 4XY's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4XY 1.4xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies40PS00.61.21.82.43+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4XY is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the European Construction industry average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4XY's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4XY PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4XY is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4XY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€35.00
€42.76
+22.2%
8.8%€48.47€34.90n/a9
Jan ’26€34.00
€41.81
+23.0%
8.8%€47.40€34.12n/a9
Dec ’25€35.40
€41.29
+16.6%
9.2%€47.64€34.30n/a9
Nov ’25€31.20
€39.78
+27.5%
9.4%€46.14€33.22n/a9
Oct ’25€29.20
€39.25
+34.4%
10.1%€45.18€30.72n/a9
Sep ’25€31.40
€39.61
+26.1%
9.6%€45.63€31.03n/a10
Aug ’25€34.60
€41.42
+19.7%
7.9%€46.34€34.29n/a10
Jul ’25€34.60
€41.63
+20.3%
7.5%€46.57€34.46n/a10
Jun ’25€32.40
€40.70
+25.6%
8.2%€45.12€32.23n/a10
May ’25€35.60
€41.81
+17.4%
8.0%€45.10€32.88n/a10
Apr ’25€36.20
€38.03
+5.0%
10.3%€44.09€32.15n/a10
Mar ’25€32.20
€35.58
+10.5%
9.3%€40.60€28.61n/a9
Feb ’25€29.00
€32.65
+12.6%
8.8%€36.85€28.56n/a9
Jan ’25€31.20
€31.21
+0.02%
7.1%€34.54€28.18€34.009
Dec ’24€27.60
€30.99
+12.3%
5.6%€34.51€28.91€35.409
Nov ’24€24.20
€30.95
+27.9%
5.9%€34.94€28.33€31.209
Oct ’24€24.40
€29.86
+22.4%
7.1%€33.93€25.68€29.209
Sep ’24€25.60
€29.86
+16.6%
7.1%€33.93€25.68€31.409
Aug ’24€25.80
€25.81
+0.03%
11.2%€29.08€19.08€34.6010
Jul ’24€24.80
€25.55
+3.0%
10.7%€29.52€19.37€34.6010
Jun ’24€20.80
€25.55
+22.9%
10.7%€29.52€19.37€32.4010
May ’24€20.20
€24.94
+23.5%
11.0%€29.13€19.12€35.6010
Apr ’24€20.20
€25.47
+26.1%
9.7%€28.31€19.81€36.2010
Mar ’24€21.80
€24.67
+13.2%
9.2%€28.14€19.70€32.2010
Feb ’24€20.20
€21.08
+4.4%
10.8%€23.95€15.66€29.009
Jan ’24€17.40
€21.32
+22.5%
11.6%€24.46€15.99€31.209
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
€43.28
Fair Value
19.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 15:58
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/10 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

APi Group Corporation is covered by 10 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew WittmannBaird
Julian MitchellBarclays
Andrew ObinBofA Global Research