MRC Global Valuation

Is 37M undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 37M when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 37M (€13.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€35.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 37M is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 37M?

Key metric: As 37M is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 37M. This is calculated by dividing 37M's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 37M's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16x
EarningsUS$75.00m
Market CapUS$1.20b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 37M's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 37M vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.3x
BNR Brenntag
16.1x15.6%€8.8b
HMU HMS Bergbau
10.2x8.0%€129.0m
NWX Nordwest Handel
6.1xn/a€67.3m
ETE Ekotechnika
0.9xn/a€25.7m
37M MRC Global
16x14.4%€1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 37M is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the peer average (8.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 37M's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
37M 16.0xIndustry Avg. 14.5xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 37M is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 37M's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

37M PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16x
Fair PE Ratio15x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 37M is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 37M forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.50
€16.37
+21.2%
2.5%€17.08€16.13n/a4
Nov ’25€11.20
€14.70
+31.2%
4.4%€15.61€13.78n/a4
Oct ’25€11.40
€14.16
+24.2%
6.9%€15.28€12.58n/a4
Sep ’25€11.80
€14.16
+20.0%
6.9%€15.28€12.58n/a4
Aug ’25€12.90
€15.02
+16.4%
2.7%€15.71€14.79n/a4
Jul ’25€11.70
€15.02
+28.3%
2.7%€15.71€14.79n/a4
Jun ’25€12.20
€15.02
+23.1%
2.7%€15.71€14.79n/a4
May ’25€10.40
€13.97
+34.3%
7.3%€15.66€12.43n/a6
Apr ’25€11.60
€13.72
+18.3%
9.3%€15.73€12.03n/a6
Mar ’25€11.00
€13.72
+24.7%
9.3%€15.73€12.03n/a6
Feb ’25€9.80
€13.29
+35.6%
9.7%€15.94€12.19n/a6
Jan ’25€10.00
€13.29
+32.9%
9.7%€15.94€12.19n/a6
Dec ’24€9.55
€13.29
+39.1%
9.7%€15.94€12.19n/a6
Nov ’24€10.20
€13.35
+30.9%
13.4%€16.21€11.44€11.204
Oct ’24€9.65
€12.76
+32.2%
15.4%€15.49€10.93€11.403
Sep ’24€9.00
€12.76
+41.7%
15.4%€15.49€10.93€11.803
Aug ’24€10.40
€13.36
+28.4%
14.0%€15.48€10.93€12.903
Jul ’24€9.15
€13.36
+46.0%
14.0%€15.48€10.93€11.703
Jun ’24€8.20
€13.36
+62.9%
14.0%€15.48€10.93€12.203
May ’24€8.80
€14.24
+61.9%
6.0%€15.46€13.64€10.403
Apr ’24€8.90
€15.60
+75.2%
2.8%€15.91€14.97€11.603
Mar ’24€10.50
€15.60
+48.5%
2.8%€15.91€14.97€11.003
Feb ’24€12.10
€15.45
+27.7%
5.1%€16.41€14.48€9.803
Jan ’24€10.80
€15.45
+43.0%
5.1%€16.41€14.48€10.003
Dec ’23€11.10
€15.45
+39.2%
5.1%€16.41€14.48€9.553
Nov ’23€10.20
€15.71
+54.0%
7.1%€17.52€14.42€10.204

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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