Ferguson Enterprises Inc.

DB:24W5 Stock Report

Market Cap: €41.5b

Ferguson Enterprises Valuation

Is 24W5 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 24W5 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 24W5 (€199.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€167.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 24W5 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 24W5?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

24W5 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio3.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 24W5's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 24W5 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.8x
BNR Brenntag
14.7x10.1%€9.4b
DTG Daimler Truck Holding
7.2x4.3%€27.5b
RHM Rheinmetall
37.4x26.7%€21.6b
KBX Knorr-Bremse
19.9x9.3%€11.5b
24W5 Ferguson Enterprises
24x7.7%€44.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 24W5 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x) compared to the peer average (19.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 24W5's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 24W5 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 24W5's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

24W5 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24x
Fair PE Ratio20.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 24W5 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 24W5 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€199.20
€207.09
+4.0%
12.7%€243.72€144.57n/a15
Jul ’25€177.20
€200.62
+13.2%
17.0%€243.49€98.60n/a18
Jun ’25€187.40
€200.18
+6.8%
17.8%€245.36€98.61n/a18
May ’25€197.70
€197.88
+0.09%
17.2%€242.64€98.26n/a18
Apr ’25€202.00
€197.88
-2.0%
17.2%€242.64€98.26n/a18
Mar ’25€193.00
€176.40
-8.6%
16.8%€217.42€98.07n/a16
Feb ’25€172.00
€174.55
+1.5%
16.1%€208.24€98.10n/a16
Jan ’25€172.00
€165.86
-3.6%
14.5%€203.00€96.93n/a17
Dec ’24€155.00
€158.13
+2.0%
12.8%€176.87€97.14n/a17
Nov ’24€140.00
€162.61
+16.1%
13.2%€182.37€100.16n/a16
Oct ’24€158.00
€162.12
+2.6%
12.6%€182.73€100.36n/a15
Sep ’24€148.00
€152.90
+3.3%
13.1%€174.52€98.40n/a14
Aug ’24€144.00
€146.36
+1.6%
13.5%€168.81€95.18€199.2013
Jul ’24€144.00
€148.64
+3.2%
13.2%€172.25€97.12€177.2013
Jun ’24€130.00
€145.67
+12.1%
14.5%€180.42€97.65€187.4011
May ’24€118.00
€138.30
+17.2%
14.2%€178.85€96.80€197.7010
Apr ’24€117.00
€138.30
+18.2%
14.2%€178.85€96.80€202.0010
Mar ’24€131.00
€140.80
+7.5%
15.0%€180.15€100.92€193.0010
Feb ’24€124.00
€133.46
+7.6%
15.6%€175.40€98.26€172.009
Jan ’24€114.00
€136.64
+19.9%
15.9%€179.94€99.86€172.009
Dec ’23€108.00
€134.23
+24.3%
15.8%€184.85€101.62€155.009
Nov ’23€107.00
€139.81
+30.7%
16.1%€193.46€112.74€140.009
Oct ’23€105.00
€142.14
+35.4%
15.6%€194.88€114.27€158.009
Sep ’23€111.00
€140.65
+26.7%
19.2%€211.98€110.70€148.009
Aug ’23€121.00
€140.67
+16.3%
19.2%€212.03€110.72€144.009

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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