technotrans SE's (ETR:TTR1) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?
technotrans (ETR:TTR1) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 54% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to technotrans' ROE today.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
See our latest analysis for technotrans
How Is ROE Calculated?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for technotrans is:
4.8% = €3.7m ÷ €77m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every €1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated €0.05 in profit.
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
technotrans' Earnings Growth And 4.8% ROE
When you first look at it, technotrans' ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 5.8%, we may spare it some thought. However, technotrans has seen a flattish net income growth over the past five years, which is not saying much. Bear in mind, the company's ROE is not very high. So that could also be one of the reasons behind the company's flat growth in earnings.
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the industry grew its earnings by3.4% in the same period.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is technotrans fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
Is technotrans Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
While the company did pay out a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. We infer that the company has been reinvesting all of its profits to grow its business.
Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 48%. Regardless, the future ROE for technotrans is predicted to rise to 12% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.
Summary
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by technotrans can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About XTRA:TTR1
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.