Alfa S.A.B. de C.V.

BST:G4L Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.1b

Alfa. de Valuation

Is G4L undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of G4L when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: G4L (€0.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: G4L is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for G4L?

Key metric: As G4L is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for G4L. This is calculated by dividing G4L's market cap by their current revenue.
What is G4L's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesMex$295.81b
Market CapMex$85.93b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does G4L's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for G4L vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
INH INDUS Holding
0.3x3.7%€506.8m
MBB MBB
0.5x6.5%€530.6m
SIE Siemens
2x5.6%€148.5b
IUR KAP
0.2xn/a€73.8m
G4L Alfa. de
0.3x6.4%€85.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: G4L is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does G4L's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Industrials Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
G4L 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies8PS00.61.21.82.43+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: G4L is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the European Industrials industry average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is G4L's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

G4L PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: G4L is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst G4L forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.63
€0.96
+53.0%
13.1%€1.09€0.72n/a8
Dec ’25€0.67
€0.94
+40.9%
13.9%€1.07€0.71n/a8
Nov ’25€0.62
€0.92
+48.5%
14.5%€1.06€0.70n/a8
Oct ’25€0.65
€0.87
+34.4%
14.8%€1.06€0.70n/a7
Sep ’25€0.47
€0.85
+82.9%
14.6%€1.12€0.73n/a7
Aug ’25€0.47
€0.89
+88.5%
14.6%€1.19€0.77n/a7
Jul ’25€0.47
€0.89
+88.5%
14.6%€1.19€0.77n/a7
Jun ’25€0.59
€0.99
+65.8%
16.6%€1.26€0.82n/a7
May ’25€0.66
€0.99
+50.6%
16.6%€1.26€0.82n/a7
Apr ’25€0.64
€0.87
+36.8%
17.0%€1.19€0.67n/a7
Mar ’25€0.64
€0.87
+35.7%
17.0%€1.19€0.67n/a7
Feb ’25€0.68
€0.86
+27.1%
17.1%€1.18€0.67n/a7
Jan ’25€0.70
€0.85
+21.7%
17.4%€1.18€0.66n/a7
Dec ’24€0.63
€0.85
+35.2%
17.4%€1.18€0.66€0.677
Nov ’24€0.56
€0.85
+52.3%
16.5%€1.15€0.65€0.628
Oct ’24€0.57
€0.92
+59.4%
21.7%€1.32€0.66€0.6510
Sep ’24€0.57
€0.90
+57.8%
22.7%€1.29€0.64€0.479
Aug ’24€0.52
€0.90
+75.2%
22.7%€1.30€0.65€0.479
Jul ’24€0.54
€0.96
+77.9%
18.2%€1.28€0.71€0.4710
Jun ’24€0.54
€0.95
+78.0%
17.7%€1.27€0.70€0.5910
May ’24€0.54
€0.92
+70.6%
18.0%€1.21€0.67€0.6610
Apr ’24€0.55
€0.93
+71.0%
17.3%€1.22€0.67€0.6410
Mar ’24€0.59
€0.98
+66.7%
15.6%€1.23€0.78€0.649
Feb ’24€0.62
€0.95
+53.4%
14.9%€1.20€0.81€0.6810
Jan ’24€0.57
€0.95
+66.9%
14.9%€1.20€0.81€0.7010
Dec ’23€0.63
€0.98
+56.6%
14.3%€1.24€0.84€0.6311

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 06:10
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 21 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Pablo Duarte de LeónActinver Case de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V.
Gilberto GarciaBarclays
Jean BrunyBBVA Corporate and Investment Bank