Standard Bank Group Limited

DB:SKC2 Stock Report

Market Cap: €20.6b

Standard Bank Group Valuation

Is SKC2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SKC2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SKC2 (€12.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€18.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SKC2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SKC2?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SKC2 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SKC2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SKC2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.1x
CBK Commerzbank
8.8x7.8%€19.0b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.6x9.7%€487.7m
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
8.6x5.6%€114.3m
EBS Erste Group Bank
6.5x-2.3%€19.7b
SKC2 Standard Bank Group
9x9.5%€395.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SKC2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the peer average (7.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SKC2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SKC2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SKC2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SKC2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9x
Fair PE Ratio11.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SKC2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SKC2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.30
€13.32
+8.3%
4.0%€14.00€12.58n/a7
Sep ’25€12.00
€12.79
+6.6%
5.2%€13.65€11.79n/a7
Aug ’25€11.10
€11.42
+2.9%
8.5%€13.17€9.61n/a8
Jul ’25€10.80
€11.24
+4.1%
8.1%€12.47€9.85n/a9
Jun ’25€8.60
€10.65
+23.9%
7.6%€11.92€9.42n/a9
May ’25€8.65
€10.90
+26.1%
8.1%€12.49€9.56n/a9
Apr ’25€8.95
€10.87
+21.5%
6.4%€12.22€9.88n/a10
Mar ’25€9.70
€10.88
+12.1%
5.6%€11.91€9.79n/a9
Feb ’25€9.70
€10.97
+13.1%
5.5%€12.13€10.02n/a9
Jan ’25€9.90
€10.69
+8.0%
7.7%€11.76€9.04n/a9
Dec ’24€9.70
€10.81
+11.5%
7.4%€11.94€9.17n/a9
Nov ’24€9.20
€10.83
+17.8%
8.2%€12.04€9.25n/a9
Oct ’24€9.10
€10.66
+17.1%
8.1%€12.00€9.22€12.6010
Sep ’24€9.30
€10.50
+12.9%
9.5%€11.94€8.45€12.0010
Aug ’24€9.60
€10.13
+5.6%
8.6%€11.35€8.60€11.1010
Jul ’24€8.40
€9.79
+16.5%
8.6%€10.69€8.28€10.8010
Jun ’24€7.10
€9.38
+32.1%
9.0%€10.27€7.95€8.609
May ’24€8.25
€9.93
+20.3%
8.0%€10.78€8.34€8.659
Apr ’24€8.80
€10.25
+16.5%
7.8%€11.24€8.70€8.9510
Mar ’24€9.35
€10.39
+11.1%
9.3%€12.20€8.34€9.7010
Feb ’24€9.10
€10.64
+16.9%
8.6%€12.27€8.72€9.709
Jan ’24€9.15
€10.73
+17.3%
6.3%€12.16€9.60€9.908
Dec ’23€9.85
€11.18
+13.5%
6.8%€12.99€10.26€9.709
Nov ’23€9.45
€10.40
+10.0%
4.0%€11.17€9.90€9.209
Oct ’23€8.00
€11.02
+37.8%
3.9%€11.76€10.34€9.109

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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