Powszechna Kasa Oszczednosci Bank Polski Spólka Akcyjna

DB:P9O Stock Report

Market Cap: €17.4b

Powszechna Kasa Oszczednosci Bank Polski Spólka Akcyjna Valuation

Is P9O undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of P9O when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: P9O (€13.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€27.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: P9O is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for P9O?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

P9O key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does P9O's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for P9O vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.4x
CBK Commerzbank
8.1x7.6%€16.5b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.9x10.0%€552.5m
UBK UmweltBank
11.5xn/a€225.4m
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
9.1x4.1%€118.2m
P9O Powszechna Kasa Oszczednosci Bank Polski Spólka Akcyjna
13.6x17.4%€75.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: P9O is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the peer average (8.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does P9O's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: P9O is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is P9O's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

P9O PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.6x
Fair PE Ratio10.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: P9O is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst P9O forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.96
€15.52
+11.2%
11.9%€19.23€12.74n/a11
Apr ’25€13.66
€14.48
+6.0%
12.3%€17.18€12.16n/a10
Mar ’25€12.71
€12.94
+1.8%
14.1%€17.14€9.87n/a11
Feb ’25€11.62
€12.77
+9.9%
12.3%€15.76€9.87n/a11
Jan ’25€11.49
€12.08
+5.1%
9.9%€14.03€9.80n/a11
Dec ’24€10.75
€11.61
+8.0%
10.9%€14.01€9.64n/a11
Nov ’24€9.64
€9.75
+1.1%
9.5%€11.20€8.07n/a11
Oct ’24€7.18
€9.01
+25.5%
8.5%€10.35€7.76n/a12
Sep ’24€8.21
€9.27
+12.9%
10.4%€10.71€7.81n/a12
Aug ’24€9.11
€9.20
+1.0%
9.4%€10.56€7.92n/a12
Jul ’24€8.08
€8.89
+10.0%
10.7%€10.43€7.64n/a12
Jun ’24€7.03
€8.30
+18.1%
9.9%€10.14€7.28n/a12
May ’24€7.09
€8.07
+13.8%
11.3%€10.05€6.99€14.1512
Apr ’24€6.13
€7.94
+29.6%
11.6%€9.82€6.83€13.6613
Mar ’24€6.55
€7.80
+19.1%
11.9%€9.63€6.28€12.7113
Feb ’24€6.81
€7.92
+16.4%
11.8%€9.78€6.38€11.6213
Jan ’24€6.46
€7.75
+20.0%
14.2%€9.81€5.97€11.4913
Dec ’23€6.04
€7.66
+26.8%
14.9%€9.80€5.75€10.7513
Nov ’23€5.50
€7.72
+40.4%
24.5%€12.39€5.45€9.6412
Oct ’23€4.46
€7.89
+76.8%
23.2%€12.33€5.64€7.1811
Sep ’23€4.91
€8.54
+73.9%
27.3%€13.90€5.69€8.2112
Aug ’23€5.66
€8.75
+54.6%
25.9%€13.86€6.09€9.1112
Jul ’23€5.89
€10.16
+72.6%
23.2%€14.05€6.39€8.0812
Jun ’23€6.90
€11.38
+65.0%
15.6%€14.35€8.26€7.0312
May ’23€7.16
€11.84
+65.3%
11.6%€14.21€9.26€7.0912

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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