Thanachart Capital Public Company Limited

DB:NFPH Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.5b

Thanachart Capital Valuation

Is NFPH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NFPH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NFPH (€1.36) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NFPH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NFPH?

Key metric: As NFPH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NFPH. This is calculated by dividing NFPH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NFPH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.8x
Earnings฿6.74b
Market Cap฿52.69b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NFPH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NFPH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.3x
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.4x9.9%€471.2m
CBK Commerzbank
8.1x8.8%€17.3b
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
10x8.6%€107.3m
BTPN Bank SMBC Indonesia
10.8xn/aRp24.4t
NFPH Thanachart Capital
7.8x6.9%€52.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NFPH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the peer average (8.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NFPH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NFPH 7.8xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies47PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NFPH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NFPH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NFPH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.8x
Fair PE Ratio9.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NFPH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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