Lloyds Banking Group Valuation

Is LLD2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LLD2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LLD2 (€2.42) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LLD2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LLD2?

Key metric: As LLD2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LLD2. This is calculated by dividing LLD2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LLD2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.2x
EarningsUK£4.45b
Market CapUK£32.24b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LLD2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LLD2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.2x
CBK Commerzbank
8x8.8%€17.1b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.4x10.7%€459.4m
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
10.1x8.6%€107.3m
ACA Crédit Agricole
6.3x3.4%€38.2b
LLD2 Lloyds Banking Group
7.2x4.2%€32.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LLD2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (7.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LLD2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LLD2 7.2xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies45PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LLD2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LLD2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LLD2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.2x
Fair PE Ratio11.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LLD2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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