Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited

DB:ICK Stock Report

Market Cap: €282.9b

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Valuation

Is ICK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ICK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ICK (€0.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ICK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ICK?

Key metric: As ICK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ICK. This is calculated by dividing ICK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ICK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.6x
EarningsCN¥349.38b
Market CapCN¥2.15t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ICK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ICK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.8x
CBK Commerzbank
8.5x8.9%€18.1b
WFC Wells Fargo
13.8x4.1%US$229.2b
BAC Bank of America
15.4x9.9%US$332.8b
1288 Agricultural Bank of China
5.3x5.6%HK$1.8t
ICK Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
4.6x4.2%€2.3t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ICK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the peer average (10.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ICK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ICK 4.6xIndustry Avg. 7.6xNo. of Companies46PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ICK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ICK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ICK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.6x
Fair PE Ratio13.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ICK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ICK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.60
€0.64
+7.9%
12.9%€0.83€0.47n/a17
Dec ’25€0.55
€0.64
+17.9%
13.9%€0.81€0.47n/a18
Nov ’25€0.55
€0.63
+14.2%
13.9%€0.81€0.46n/a18
Oct ’25€0.54
€0.60
+9.6%
10.9%€0.72€0.46n/a18
Sep ’25€0.51
€0.60
+17.3%
10.5%€0.73€0.46n/a19
Aug ’25€0.51
€0.61
+19.8%
10.8%€0.74€0.46n/a19
Jul ’25€0.54
€0.61
+11.9%
10.4%€0.74€0.46n/a20
Jun ’25€0.52
€0.58
+11.6%
13.5%€0.74€0.34n/a20
May ’25€0.49
€0.57
+16.6%
14.8%€0.75€0.35n/a20
Apr ’25€0.47
€0.56
+19.4%
14.1%€0.74€0.35n/a21
Mar ’25€0.47
€0.56
+18.8%
13.0%€0.74€0.38n/a21
Feb ’25€0.46
€0.56
+23.9%
13.0%€0.74€0.38n/a21
Jan ’25€0.42
€0.56
+32.9%
12.9%€0.73€0.38n/a21
Dec ’24€0.42
€0.58
+37.1%
11.7%€0.74€0.38€0.5521
Nov ’24€0.44
€0.58
+30.5%
11.8%€0.74€0.39€0.5521
Oct ’24€0.44
€0.59
+31.8%
11.4%€0.74€0.42€0.5422
Sep ’24€0.41
€0.59
+42.6%
12.3%€0.73€0.41€0.5123
Aug ’24€0.44
€0.60
+36.4%
13.3%€0.78€0.42€0.5123
Jul ’24€0.48
€0.60
+25.4%
11.9%€0.78€0.48€0.5422
Jun ’24€0.49
€0.62
+25.0%
11.8%€0.80€0.50€0.5222
May ’24€0.48
€0.61
+27.2%
11.1%€0.73€0.50€0.4922
Apr ’24€0.48
€0.64
+32.3%
11.0%€0.75€0.51€0.4722
Mar ’24€0.47
€0.64
+36.6%
12.0%€0.77€0.51€0.4724
Feb ’24€0.48
€0.64
+33.6%
12.2%€0.77€0.51€0.4624
Jan ’24€0.48
€0.64
+32.8%
14.3%€0.79€0.45€0.4224
Dec ’23€0.47
€0.63
+33.6%
15.5%€0.79€0.44€0.4224

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 11:35
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited is covered by 71 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yu Hang AuABCI Securities Company Limited
Meizhi YanBarclays
Dorris ChenBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)