First United Valuation

Is FU3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FU3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FU3 (€31.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€66.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FU3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FU3?

Key metric: As FU3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FU3. This is calculated by dividing FU3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FU3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.3x
EarningsUS$16.14m
Market CapUS$230.54m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FU3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FU3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10x
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
10.2x8.6%€109.7m
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.4x10.7%€462.9m
VABK Virginia National Bankshares
14.1xn/aUS$219.2m
BCBP BCB Bancorp
11.4x18.1%US$226.2m
FU3 First United
14.3x15.1%€230.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FU3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the peer average (10x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FU3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FU3 14.3xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies45PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FU3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FU3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FU3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.3x
Fair PE Ratio9.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FU3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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