Erste Group Bank Valuation

Is EBOR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EBOR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EBOR (€25.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€66.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EBOR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EBOR?

Key metric: As EBOR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EBOR. This is calculated by dividing EBOR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EBOR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.8x
Earnings€3.10b
Market Cap€20.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EBOR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EBOR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8x
CBK Commerzbank
8.5x8.8%€18.2b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.2x9.9%€450.0m
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
10x8.6%€107.3m
1010 Riyad Bank
9.1x4.8%ر.س79.7b
EBOR Erste Group Bank
6.8x-2.8%€21.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EBOR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the peer average (8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EBOR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EBOR 6.8xIndustry Avg. 7.4xNo. of Companies46PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EBOR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EBOR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EBOR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.8x
Fair PE Ratio9.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EBOR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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