Arrow Financial Corporation

DB:BQE Stock Report

Market Cap: €523.4m

Arrow Financial Valuation

Is BQE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BQE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BQE (€30.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€49.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BQE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BQE?

Key metric: As BQE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BQE. This is calculated by dividing BQE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BQE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.8x
EarningsUS$32.96m
Market CapUS$552.39m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BQE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BQE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.4x
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.4x10.7%€462.9m
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
10.2x8.6%€109.7m
PFIS Peoples Financial Services
91.3x68.2%US$551.6m
8386 Hyakujushi Bank
7.7xn/aJP¥87.3b
BQE Arrow Financial
16.8x17.0%€552.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BQE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x) compared to the peer average (29x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BQE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BQE 16.8xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies45PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BQE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BQE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BQE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.8x
Fair PE Ratio10.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BQE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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