Bank of Nova Scotia Valuation

Is BKN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BKN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BKN (€43.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€92.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BKN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BKN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BKN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BKN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BKN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.5x
CBK Commerzbank
8.2x7.6%€16.7b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.7x10.1%€532.4m
UBK UmweltBank
11.7xn/a€229.0m
WBC Westpac Banking
29.4x13.9%AU$90.8b
BKN Bank of Nova Scotia
10.4x6.8%€77.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BKN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the peer average (13.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BKN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BKN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BKN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BKN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.4x
Fair PE Ratio8.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BKN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BKN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€43.23
€46.45
+7.4%
4.6%€50.52€43.01n/a15
Apr ’25€48.00
€46.26
-3.6%
3.7%€49.68€43.51n/a14
Mar ’25€45.04
€45.52
+1.1%
2.5%€47.64€43.56n/a12
Feb ’25€42.90
€43.88
+2.3%
4.8%€47.59€39.43n/a11
Jan ’25€44.00
€43.62
-0.8%
6.3%€47.94€38.35n/a12
Dec ’24€41.49
€42.08
+1.4%
9.8%€51.99€36.20n/a13
Nov ’24€38.40
€45.91
+19.6%
7.1%€52.84€40.88n/a13
Oct ’24€43.00
€47.25
+9.9%
6.3%€54.01€41.78n/a13
Sep ’24€44.14
€46.01
+4.2%
6.1%€52.47€40.60n/a15
Aug ’24€44.80
€47.75
+6.6%
4.9%€53.23€43.24n/a15
Jul ’24€45.91
€48.20
+5.0%
5.2%€53.59€43.54n/a16
Jun ’24€46.00
€48.13
+4.6%
7.4%€59.38€43.11n/a16
May ’24€45.16
€49.48
+9.6%
7.2%€58.88€44.11n/a16
Apr ’24€46.53
€49.80
+7.0%
6.8%€58.86€44.09€48.0015
Mar ’24€47.21
€50.93
+7.9%
7.2%€61.14€44.84€45.0415
Feb ’24€49.62
€53.65
+8.1%
7.3%€61.00€48.18€42.9015
Jan ’24€46.20
€54.05
+17.0%
7.0%€61.30€48.42€44.0015
Dec ’23€49.95
€56.46
+13.0%
6.6%€61.36€49.95€41.4915
Nov ’23€49.18
€61.86
+25.8%
4.9%€66.66€53.32€38.4015
Oct ’23€50.20
€63.99
+27.5%
3.5%€68.51€58.61€43.0015
Sep ’23€54.15
€65.42
+20.8%
3.9%€72.60€61.14€44.1415
Aug ’23€60.00
€69.33
+15.6%
4.1%€73.71€64.18€44.8014
Jul ’23€56.00
€66.89
+19.5%
5.3%€71.75€58.44€45.9115
Jun ’23€63.34
€66.75
+5.4%
5.6%€73.65€57.66€46.0015
May ’23€60.00
€70.52
+17.5%
7.4%€78.49€57.22€45.1614
Apr ’23€64.45
€69.25
+7.4%
7.6%€76.11€55.48€46.5314

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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