Unicaja Banco Valuation

Is 7UB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7UB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7UB (€1.18) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7UB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7UB?

Key metric: As 7UB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7UB. This is calculated by dividing 7UB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7UB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.2x
Earnings€425.85m
Market Cap€3.05b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7UB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7UB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.1x
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.4x10.7%€459.4m
CBK Commerzbank
8x8.8%€17.1b
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
10.1x8.6%€107.3m
BPSO Banca Popolare di Sondrio
6x-14.0%€3.3b
7UB Unicaja Banco
7.2x-2.8%€3.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7UB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (7.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7UB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7UB 7.2xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies45PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7UB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7UB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7UB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.2x
Fair PE Ratio8.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7UB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7UB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.18
€1.44
+22.5%
16.1%€2.20€1.17n/a16
Nov ’25€1.15
€1.42
+23.1%
17.3%€2.20€1.13n/a16
Oct ’25€1.12
€1.47
+31.0%
15.8%€2.20€1.20n/a15
Sep ’25€1.21
€1.46
+21.4%
15.4%€2.20€1.20n/a16
Aug ’25€1.18
€1.47
+24.7%
14.8%€2.20€1.20n/a16
Jul ’25€1.32
€1.43
+8.2%
14.8%€2.10€1.20n/a16
Jun ’25€1.31
€1.42
+7.8%
14.7%€2.10€1.20n/a16
May ’25€1.20
€1.37
+14.0%
16.5%€2.10€1.10n/a16
Apr ’25€1.12
€1.30
+16.2%
19.0%€2.00€1.00n/a15
Mar ’25€0.93
€1.34
+43.0%
22.1%€2.00€1.00n/a15
Feb ’25€0.86
€1.33
+54.8%
21.1%€1.80€0.96n/a15
Jan ’25€0.87
€1.40
+61.1%
18.9%€2.00€1.02n/a15
Dec ’24€1.00
€1.42
+41.6%
17.4%€2.00€1.08n/a15
Nov ’24€0.96
€1.43
+48.2%
17.1%€2.00€1.08€1.1515
Oct ’24€0.99
€1.40
+41.6%
15.9%€1.90€1.06€1.1214
Sep ’24€0.99
€1.40
+41.6%
15.9%€1.90€1.06€1.2114
Aug ’24€0.97
€1.38
+42.1%
16.4%€1.90€1.02€1.1815
Jul ’24€0.94
€1.40
+48.6%
20.3%€2.00€0.98€1.3215
Jun ’24€0.88
€1.39
+57.3%
19.9%€2.00€0.98€1.3115
May ’24€0.92
€1.45
+56.9%
17.1%€2.00€1.05€1.2015
Apr ’24€0.96
€1.46
+51.4%
15.9%€2.00€1.15€1.1215
Mar ’24€1.16
€1.46
+25.9%
15.0%€2.00€1.15€0.9315
Feb ’24€1.12
€1.43
+27.3%
15.1%€2.00€1.15€0.8615
Jan ’24€1.03
€1.38
+34.0%
15.7%€2.00€1.13€0.8714
Dec ’23€0.97
€1.38
+41.7%
15.7%€2.00€1.13€1.0014
Nov ’23€0.89
€1.38
+55.3%
15.5%€2.00€1.15€0.9614

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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