Banco del Bajío, S.A., Institución de Banca Múltiple

DB:5NT Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.5b

Banco del Bajío Institución de Banca Múltiple Valuation

Is 5NT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5NT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5NT (€1.91) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€5.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5NT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5NT?

Key metric: As 5NT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5NT. This is calculated by dividing 5NT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5NT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.7x
EarningsMex$10.94b
Market CapMex$51.45b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5NT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5NT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.5x
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.4x12.2%€454.7m
CBK Commerzbank
8.5x8.9%€18.1b
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
9.7x10.7%€103.5m
MIL Bank Millennium
15.7x32.9%zł10.4b
5NT Banco del Bajío Institución de Banca Múltiple
4.7x-6.0%€51.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5NT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the peer average (9.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5NT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
5NT 4.7xIndustry Avg. 7.6xNo. of Companies46PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5NT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5NT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5NT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.7x
Fair PE Ratio8.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5NT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5NT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€2.85
0%
8.5%€3.32€2.37n/a14
Dec ’25€1.89
€2.82
+49.2%
8.0%€3.25€2.32n/a14
Nov ’25€1.94
€2.86
+47.3%
8.4%€3.23€2.31n/a14
Oct ’25€2.02
€3.00
+48.4%
8.2%€3.62€2.58n/a14
Sep ’25€2.14
€3.00
+40.0%
7.8%€3.56€2.54n/a14
Aug ’25€2.66
€3.22
+21.2%
8.0%€3.82€2.73n/a13
Jul ’25€2.68
€3.40
+26.9%
8.2%€3.93€2.81n/a12
Jun ’25€3.04
€3.79
+24.5%
5.4%€4.22€3.51n/a12
May ’25€3.44
€3.72
+8.0%
5.4%€4.17€3.47n/a13
Apr ’25€3.44
€3.73
+8.3%
6.9%€4.07€3.30n/a13
Mar ’25€3.28
€3.62
+10.5%
6.8%€3.91€3.21n/a13
Feb ’25€3.34
€3.57
+6.7%
6.4%€3.88€3.18n/a13
Jan ’25€2.88
€3.46
+20.0%
6.2%€3.83€3.15n/a13
Dec ’24€2.76
€3.42
+23.8%
5.3%€3.73€3.10€1.8913
Nov ’24€2.74
€3.49
+27.5%
5.4%€3.77€3.14€1.9413
Oct ’24€2.94
€3.46
+17.7%
8.4%€3.83€2.97€2.0214
Sep ’24€2.74
€3.46
+26.4%
8.0%€3.81€2.95€2.1414
Aug ’24€2.70
€3.52
+30.4%
7.5%€3.86€2.99€2.6613
Jul ’24€2.80
€3.44
+22.8%
7.9%€3.75€2.86€2.6814
Jun ’24€2.88
€3.44
+19.3%
7.9%€3.75€2.86€3.0414
May ’24€2.86
€3.35
+17.0%
8.3%€3.74€2.78€3.4414
Apr ’24€3.22
€3.23
+0.3%
8.7%€3.59€2.74€3.4414
Mar ’24€3.52
€3.23
-8.2%
8.8%€3.61€2.76€3.2814
Feb ’24€3.61
€3.12
-13.7%
9.2%€3.52€2.69€3.3414
Jan ’24€2.89
€2.79
-3.7%
8.4%€3.19€2.43€2.8814
Dec ’23€3.04
€2.81
-7.7%
9.7%€3.28€2.22€2.7614

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 16:39
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/04 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Banco del Bajío, S.A., Institución de Banca Múltiple is covered by 26 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gilberto GarciaBarclays
Ernesto Gabilondo MárquezBofA Global Research
Gustavo SchrodenBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários