Bank of Qingdao Valuation

Is 4BQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4BQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4BQ (€0.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4BQ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4BQ?

Key metric: As 4BQ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4BQ. This is calculated by dividing 4BQ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4BQ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4x
EarningsCN¥3.55b
Market CapCN¥18.82b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4BQ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4BQ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.8x
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.4x10.7%€459.4m
CBK Commerzbank
8x8.8%€17.1b
FRME First Merchants
14.5x7.3%US$2.6b
BEKN Berner Kantonalbank
12.3xn/aCHF 2.1b
4BQ Bank of Qingdao
4x12.9%€20.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4BQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (9.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4BQ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4BQ 4.0xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies45PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4BQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4BQ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4BQ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4x
Fair PE Ratio10.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4BQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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