Société Générale Société anonyme

XTRA:SGE Stock Report

Market Cap: €20.9b

Société Générale Société anonyme Valuation

Is SGE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SGE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SGE (€26.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€85.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SGE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SGE?

Key metric: As SGE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SGE. This is calculated by dividing SGE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SGE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.3x
Earnings€2.86b
Market Cap€20.92b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SGE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SGE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.4x
CBK Commerzbank
8.9x8.2%€18.8b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.3x9.7%€462.9m
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
10.5x8.6%€112.8m
600016 China Minsheng Banking
5.8x7.5%CN¥156.4b
SGE Société Générale Société anonyme
7.3x14.7%€20.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SGE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SGE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SGE 7.3xIndustry Avg. 7.4xNo. of Companies44PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SGE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SGE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SGE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.3x
Fair PE Ratio12.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SGE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SGE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€26.12
€32.28
+23.6%
14.8%€45.00€24.00n/a19
Nov ’25€27.29
€31.78
+16.5%
15.3%€45.00€24.00n/a19
Oct ’25€22.08
€30.50
+38.1%
17.0%€45.50€24.00n/a20
Sep ’25€21.83
€30.75
+40.9%
16.1%€45.50€24.90n/a20
Aug ’25€21.84
€31.09
+42.4%
15.6%€45.50€25.50n/a20
Jul ’25€22.60
€30.94
+36.9%
15.8%€45.90€24.84n/a21
Jun ’25€27.34
€30.26
+10.7%
12.1%€40.20€24.84n/a20
May ’25€25.50
€30.04
+17.8%
12.8%€40.20€23.00n/a21
Apr ’25€24.80
€29.50
+19.0%
13.6%€40.20€23.00n/a21
Mar ’25€22.76
€29.64
+30.2%
13.9%€40.20€23.00n/a21
Feb ’25€23.01
€30.07
+30.7%
13.9%€40.20€21.90n/a21
Jan ’25€24.01
€30.06
+25.2%
14.0%€40.20€22.25n/a21
Dec ’24€22.87
€29.99
+31.1%
14.1%€40.20€22.25n/a21
Nov ’24€21.24
€31.07
+46.3%
10.9%€40.20€26.00€27.2920
Oct ’24€23.04
€31.37
+36.2%
11.0%€40.20€25.96€22.0820
Sep ’24€26.27
€35.05
+33.4%
12.6%€46.00€25.50€21.8321
Aug ’24€24.23
€33.79
+39.5%
14.2%€43.00€25.50€21.8421
Jul ’24€23.80
€33.35
+40.1%
14.4%€43.00€25.50€22.6020
Jun ’24€21.68
€33.01
+52.3%
12.7%€40.20€25.50€27.3421
May ’24€22.00
€33.01
+50.0%
12.2%€40.20€25.50€25.5021
Apr ’24€20.82
€33.18
+59.4%
11.9%€40.20€25.50€24.8021
Mar ’24€26.59
€32.84
+23.5%
12.9%€40.20€25.50€22.7621
Feb ’24€27.40
€32.63
+19.1%
13.3%€40.20€25.50€23.0121
Jan ’24€23.60
€33.19
+40.7%
14.8%€41.00€25.00€24.0120
Dec ’23€23.38
€33.59
+43.7%
14.0%€41.00€25.00€22.8720
Nov ’23€23.46
€32.74
+39.6%
17.5%€42.30€17.15€21.2422

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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