Lloyds Banking Group plc

XTRA:LLD Stock Report

Market Cap: €69.8b

Lloyds Banking Group Valuation

Is LLD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of LLD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: LLD (€1.21) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (€2.59)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: LLD is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LLD?

Key metric: As LLD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LLD. This is calculated by dividing LLD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LLD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.1x
EarningsUK£4.60b
Market CapUK£60.38b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LLD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LLD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.9x
CBK Commerzbank
16.4x14.88%€39.3b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
6.2x20.87%€496.5m
O39 Oversea-Chinese Banking
14.7x4.59%S$108.9b
BARC Barclays
10.5x8.82%UK£65.8b
LLD Lloyds Banking Group
13.1x10.06%€60.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LLD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (11.9x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LLD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LLD 13.1xIndustry Avg. 11.5xNo. of Companies40PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LLD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the European Banks industry average (11.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LLD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LLD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio12.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LLD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LLD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.21
€1.33
+10.64%
15.66%€1.50€0.61n/a18
Jun ’27€1.17
€1.33
+14.44%
15.66%€1.50€0.61n/a18
May ’27€1.16
€1.33
+14.60%
15.55%€1.51€0.61n/a18
Apr ’27€1.13
€1.29
+14.55%
15.51%€1.49€0.61n/a18
Mar ’27€1.19
€1.27
+7.08%
15.77%€1.49€0.61n/a19
Feb ’27€1.28
€1.23
-3.79%
15.03%€1.42€0.61n/a19
Jan ’27€1.14
€1.10
-3.73%
13.84%€1.25€0.60n/a18
Dec ’26€1.11
€1.09
-1.63%
13.53%€1.25€0.60n/a18
Nov ’26€1.03
€1.06
+3.67%
13.51%€1.25€0.60n/a18
Oct ’26€0.97
€1.03
+6.65%
13.60%€1.18€0.61n/a18
Sep ’26€0.93
€1.04
+11.55%
13.89%€1.19€0.61n/a18
Aug ’26€0.89
€0.99
+11.10%
13.11%€1.15€0.61n/a18
Jul ’26€0.90
€0.94
+3.53%
13.87%€1.17€0.62n/a17
Jun ’26€0.93
€0.95
+1.49%
13.94%€1.19€0.63€1.1718
May ’26€0.88
€0.90
+2.69%
13.56%€1.06€0.62€1.1618
Apr ’26€0.89
€0.91
+2.04%
14.59%€1.08€0.63€1.1318
Mar ’26€0.89
€0.85
-4.86%
14.77%€1.09€0.64€1.1919
Feb ’26€0.74
€0.78
+4.33%
13.78%€0.99€0.63€1.2819
Jan ’26€0.66
€0.78
+19.66%
12.46%€0.96€0.64€1.1418
Dec ’25€0.64
€0.78
+21.53%
12.80%€0.96€0.64€1.1118
Nov ’25€0.66
€0.78
+19.74%
13.02%€0.98€0.63€1.0318
Oct ’25€0.70
€0.75
+7.50%
10.51%€0.94€0.64€0.9718
Sep ’25€0.69
€0.74
+7.63%
10.05%€0.93€0.63€0.9318
Aug ’25€0.67
€0.74
+11.37%
11.23%€0.93€0.59€0.8918
Jul ’25€0.66
€0.72
+9.52%
11.30%€0.92€0.59€0.9019
Jun ’25€0.65
€0.71
+9.35%
11.49%€0.92€0.59€0.9318
€1.33
Fair Value
9.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
18
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/16 03:16
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/16 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Lloyds Banking Group plc is covered by 33 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jesús Gómez DominguezBanco Santander
Thomas Andrew RaynerBarclays
Amandeep RakkarBarclays