Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.

XTRA:BOY Stock Report

Market Cap: €61.1b

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Valuation

Is BOY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BOY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BOY (€10.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€18.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BOY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BOY?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BOY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio9.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BOY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BOY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.7x
CBK Commerzbank
8x7.6%€16.3b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.9x10.0%€554.8m
UBK UmweltBank
11.7xn/a€228.2m
UCG UniCredit
6.3x-5.7%€59.0b
BOY Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria
8x0.9%€61.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BOY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the peer average (7.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BOY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BOY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BOY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BOY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8x
Fair PE Ratio8.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BOY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BOY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.90
€10.85
-0.4%
12.8%€13.03€8.30n/a23
Apr ’25€11.04
€10.48
-5.0%
14.0%€13.41€8.30n/a22
Mar ’25€9.36
€9.95
+6.3%
12.9%€13.00€8.00n/a23
Feb ’25€8.68
€9.91
+14.1%
13.1%€13.00€8.00n/a23
Jan ’25€8.24
€9.75
+18.4%
12.8%€13.00€7.80n/a23
Dec ’24€8.56
€9.55
+11.6%
11.2%€11.80€7.80n/a24
Nov ’24€7.58
€9.36
+23.4%
11.6%€11.80€7.10n/a24
Oct ’24€7.72
€8.93
+15.7%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Sep ’24€7.27
€8.81
+21.2%
9.8%€10.30€7.10n/a25
Aug ’24€7.01
€8.66
+23.6%
9.5%€10.30€7.10n/a25
Jul ’24€7.03
€8.48
+20.7%
9.3%€10.00€6.90n/a24
Jun ’24€6.26
€8.31
+32.9%
12.5%€10.00€6.00n/a23
May ’24€6.66
€8.12
+22.0%
11.9%€9.80€6.00n/a22
Apr ’24€6.52
€7.86
+20.5%
11.9%€9.30€6.00€11.0422
Mar ’24€7.24
€7.71
+6.5%
11.2%€9.20€6.00€9.3621
Feb ’24€6.77
€7.22
+6.6%
12.8%€9.00€5.50€8.6821
Jan ’24€5.66
€6.97
+23.1%
10.6%€8.50€5.50€8.2422
Dec ’23€5.57
€6.89
+23.6%
11.4%€8.50€5.50€8.5622
Nov ’23€5.26
€6.77
+28.8%
10.9%€8.00€5.50€7.5821
Oct ’23€4.62
€6.44
+39.3%
12.2%€8.00€5.00€7.7222
Sep ’23€4.44
€6.41
+44.5%
11.6%€8.00€5.00€7.2722
Aug ’23€4.37
€6.23
+42.5%
14.8%€8.00€3.48€7.0122
Jul ’23€4.32
€6.42
+48.8%
11.3%€8.00€5.30€7.0321
Jun ’23€5.01
€6.44
+28.6%
10.5%€7.60€5.30€6.2621
May ’23€5.00
€6.37
+27.4%
9.5%€7.40€5.30€6.6623
Apr ’23€5.28
€6.38
+20.9%
9.4%€7.40€5.30€6.5223

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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