Valeo Valuation

Is VSA2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VSA2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VSA2 (€7.66) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VSA2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VSA2?

Key metric: As VSA2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VSA2. This is calculated by dividing VSA2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VSA2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.8x
Earnings€243.00m
Market Cap€1.91b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VSA2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VSA2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.7x
SHA0 Schaeffler
29.3x73.1%€4.2b
SFQ SAF-Holland
8x14.3%€615.5m
HLE HELLA GmbH KGaA
29.1x17.1%€9.6b
CON Continental
12.3x23.4%€12.4b
VSA2 Valeo
7.8x43.7%€1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VSA2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the peer average (19.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VSA2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VSA2 7.8xIndustry Avg. 9.2xNo. of Companies9PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VSA2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (8.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VSA2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VSA2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.8x
Fair PE Ratio15.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VSA2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VSA2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.66
€13.09
+70.8%
25.8%€22.00€9.00n/a15
Nov ’25€8.80
€13.38
+52.0%
22.9%€22.00€9.00n/a16
Oct ’25€10.83
€13.66
+26.2%
21.7%€22.00€9.00n/a16
Sep ’25€9.73
€14.10
+44.9%
24.6%€22.00€10.00n/a16
Aug ’25€10.59
€14.23
+34.4%
24.0%€22.00€10.00n/a16
Jul ’25€10.18
€14.86
+46.0%
25.1%€25.00€11.00n/a16
Jun ’25€11.31
€15.78
+39.5%
24.4%€25.00€11.00n/a16
May ’25€11.86
€15.81
+33.3%
24.3%€25.00€11.00n/a16
Apr ’25€11.61
€16.10
+38.7%
24.7%€26.00€11.00n/a17
Mar ’25€10.50
€18.13
+72.7%
24.2%€26.00€12.00n/a17
Feb ’25€12.00
€18.99
+58.3%
25.6%€29.00€12.00n/a17
Jan ’25€13.94
€19.82
+42.2%
23.5%€29.00€13.00n/a17
Dec ’24€13.20
€20.68
+56.6%
22.6%€29.00€13.00n/a17
Nov ’24€12.68
€20.38
+60.7%
20.1%€26.50€13.00€8.8017
Oct ’24€16.40
€22.94
+39.9%
15.2%€30.00€17.00€10.8317
Sep ’24€18.03
€22.94
+27.2%
15.2%€30.00€17.00€9.7317
Aug ’24€20.52
€22.81
+11.2%
15.2%€30.00€17.00€10.5916
Jul ’24€19.49
€22.38
+14.8%
15.5%€30.00€17.00€10.1817
Jun ’24€18.27
€22.38
+22.5%
15.5%€30.00€17.00€11.3117
May ’24€17.36
€21.94
+26.4%
17.5%€30.00€15.00€11.8617
Apr ’24€19.01
€21.82
+14.8%
18.9%€30.00€14.00€11.6117
Mar ’24€19.72
€21.67
+9.9%
17.3%€30.00€14.00€10.5018
Feb ’24€19.99
€21.14
+5.7%
18.5%€30.00€14.00€12.0018
Jan ’24€16.91
€20.45
+21.0%
18.3%€30.00€15.00€13.9419
Dec ’23€18.00
€20.53
+14.0%
18.5%€30.00€15.00€13.2019
Nov ’23€16.81
€20.53
+22.1%
18.5%€30.00€15.00€12.6819

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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