Tesla, Inc.

DB:TL0 Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.3t

Tesla Valuation

Is TL0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TL0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TL0 (€402.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€79.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TL0 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TL0?

Key metric: As TL0 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TL0. This is calculated by dividing TL0's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TL0's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio106.1x
EarningsUS$12.74b
Market CapUS$1.35t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TL0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TL0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.9x
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
6x3.3%€48.3b
P911 Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
13.4x11.3%€53.4b
MBG Mercedes-Benz Group
4.7x1.0%€50.8b
VOW3 Volkswagen
3.6x9.2%€45.1b
TL0 Tesla
106.1x11.9%€1.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TL0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (106.1x) compared to the peer average (6.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TL0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TL0 106.1xIndustry Avg. 15.2xNo. of Companies15PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TL0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (106.1x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TL0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TL0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio106.1x
Fair PE Ratio12.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TL0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (106.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TL0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€402.80
€272.07
-32.5%
38.8%€506.04€115.01n/a42
Dec ’25€325.75
€222.16
-31.8%
29.8%€381.12€80.99n/a42
Nov ’25€229.45
€204.99
-10.7%
26.9%€289.61€78.15n/a43
Oct ’25€232.50
€186.36
-19.8%
29.5%€277.39€76.06n/a42
Sep ’25€191.10
€184.08
-3.7%
29.9%€278.63€76.40n/a43
Aug ’25€200.65
€189.06
-5.8%
30.0%€286.75€78.63n/a43
Jul ’25€194.70
€170.78
-12.3%
27.7%€289.26€79.31n/a42
Jun ’25€162.72
€166.59
+2.4%
28.5%€284.89€78.12n/a41
May ’25€171.88
€170.21
-1.0%
28.3%€290.41€79.63n/a42
Apr ’25€162.50
€184.74
+13.7%
29.0%€296.54€78.77n/a40
Mar ’25€187.00
€195.79
+4.7%
26.5%€318.37€78.44n/a39
Feb ’25€173.80
€199.88
+15.0%
26.9%€317.40€78.20n/a38
Jan ’25€230.50
€215.50
-6.5%
28.5%€345.38€77.26n/a36
Dec ’24€219.05
€216.00
-1.4%
28.2%€347.24€77.67€325.7536
Nov ’24€195.36
€225.90
+15.6%
27.9%€359.94€80.51€229.4536
Oct ’24€237.00
€239.67
+1.1%
30.2%€378.48€80.43€232.5036
Sep ’24€227.20
€226.26
-0.4%
29.1%€318.05€77.24€191.1036
Aug ’24€238.00
€222.34
-6.6%
29.8%€317.49€77.10€200.6535
Jul ’24€240.30
€190.78
-20.6%
30.3%€307.20€77.95€194.7035
Jun ’24€193.40
€174.00
-10.0%
25.8%€277.68€78.68€162.7235
May ’24€149.00
€170.73
+14.6%
26.1%€273.45€77.48€171.8834
Apr ’24€189.82
€189.24
-0.3%
27.0%€295.01€78.36€162.5033
Mar ’24€190.18
€189.69
-0.3%
27.9%€303.33€80.57€187.0034
Feb ’24€165.28
€175.55
+6.2%
29.9%€295.01€78.36€173.8033
Jan ’24€112.24
€234.12
+108.6%
34.4%€496.44€80.12€230.5030
Dec ’23€185.20
€265.94
+43.6%
31.7%€503.50€80.75€219.0532

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 15:36
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Tesla, Inc. is covered by 95 analysts. 48 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Theodore O'NeillAscendiant Capital Markets LLC
Benjamin KalloBaird