SAF-Holland Valuation

Is SFQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SFQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SFQ (€13.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€38.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SFQ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SFQ?

Key metric: As SFQ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SFQ. This is calculated by dividing SFQ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SFQ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.8x
Earnings€77.26m
Market Cap€605.56m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SFQ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SFQ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.3x
NVM Novem Group
8.8x17.2%€244.4m
ED4 EDAG Engineering Group
8.5x18.8%€179.0m
PWO PWO
6.7x10.6%€86.9m
SHA0 Schaeffler
29.3x73.1%€4.2b
SFQ SAF-Holland
7.8x14.3%€605.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SFQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the peer average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SFQ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SFQ 7.8xIndustry Avg. 8.9xNo. of Companies9PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SFQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SFQ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SFQ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.8x
Fair PE Ratio7.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SFQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SFQ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.08
€22.46
+71.7%
17.1%€28.00€18.00n/a5
Nov ’25€14.10
€24.80
+75.9%
12.9%€30.00€21.00n/a5
Oct ’25€16.38
€25.20
+53.8%
15.3%€32.00€21.00n/a5
Sep ’25€17.38
€25.20
+45.0%
15.3%€32.00€21.00n/a5
Aug ’25€18.74
€25.20
+34.5%
15.3%€32.00€21.00n/a5
Jul ’25€18.90
€24.60
+30.2%
17.4%€32.00€20.00n/a5
Jun ’25€17.82
€23.70
+33.0%
17.4%€31.00€19.50n/a5
May ’25€18.26
€23.50
+28.7%
17.5%€31.00€19.50n/a5
Apr ’25€18.86
€23.50
+24.6%
17.5%€31.00€19.50n/a5
Mar ’25€17.45
€21.90
+25.5%
20.4%€30.00€17.00n/a5
Feb ’25€15.06
€20.94
+39.0%
22.4%€30.00€17.00n/a5
Jan ’25€15.35
€20.34
+32.5%
23.1%€29.00€15.00n/a5
Dec ’24€14.83
€19.94
+34.5%
20.0%€27.00€15.00n/a5
Nov ’24€12.83
€18.64
+45.3%
25.3%€27.00€14.00€14.105
Oct ’24€12.46
€18.24
+46.4%
22.1%€25.00€14.00€16.385
Sep ’24€11.42
€18.24
+59.7%
22.1%€25.00€14.00€17.385
Aug ’24€13.11
€17.50
+33.5%
25.0%€25.00€14.00€18.745
Jul ’24€12.58
€17.50
+39.1%
25.0%€25.00€14.00€18.905
Jun ’24€11.62
€17.40
+49.7%
25.7%€25.00€13.50€17.825
May ’24€12.30
€17.20
+39.8%
24.0%€24.00€13.50€18.265
Apr ’24€11.99
€17.10
+42.6%
24.7%€24.00€13.00€18.865
Mar ’24€12.01
€17.03
+41.8%
16.4%€20.00€14.00€17.454
Feb ’24€10.69
€16.32
+52.7%
17.9%€20.00€13.00€15.065
Jan ’24€8.78
€16.12
+83.7%
19.2%€20.00€13.00€15.355
Dec ’23€9.43
€15.02
+59.3%
25.0%€20.00€9.50€14.836
Nov ’23€7.69
€14.85
+93.2%
26.0%€20.00€9.50€12.836

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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