Autoliv, Inc.

DB:LIV Stock Report

Market Cap: €7.3b

Autoliv Valuation

Is LIV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LIV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LIV (€91) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€168.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LIV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LIV?

Key metric: As LIV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LIV. This is calculated by dividing LIV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LIV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.2x
EarningsUS$630.00m
Market CapUS$7.60b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LIV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LIV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.2x
HLE HELLA GmbH KGaA
29.1x17.1%€9.6b
CON Continental
11.9x23.5%€12.0b
SHA0 Schaeffler
27.9x71.5%€4.0b
SFQ SAF-Holland
7.8x14.3%€603.7m
LIV Autoliv
12.2x13.9%€7.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LIV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the peer average (19.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LIV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LIV 12.2xIndustry Avg. 9.1xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LIV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (9.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LIV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LIV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.2x
Fair PE Ratio8.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LIV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LIV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€91.00
€110.34
+21.3%
8.9%€132.58€95.65n/a18
Nov ’25€85.00
€108.35
+27.5%
9.4%€129.70€93.57n/a18
Oct ’25€83.50
€107.71
+29.0%
9.1%€125.73€91.61n/a18
Sep ’25€91.00
€112.32
+23.4%
9.3%€130.66€95.45n/a19
Aug ’25€93.00
€112.32
+20.8%
9.3%€130.66€95.45n/a19
Jul ’25€99.00
€123.52
+24.8%
8.2%€144.63€108.24n/a16
Jun ’25€117.00
€123.55
+5.6%
7.1%€142.71€110.48n/a16
May ’25€113.00
€122.47
+8.4%
9.0%€145.20€95.55n/a17
Apr ’25€112.00
€115.65
+3.3%
9.1%€139.65€94.96n/a17
Mar ’25€107.00
€109.90
+2.7%
10.4%€138.78€94.37n/a17
Feb ’25€100.00
€108.25
+8.3%
10.6%€138.35€94.07n/a18
Jan ’25€100.00
€101.81
+1.8%
13.1%€137.40€83.36n/a19
Dec ’24€94.50
€101.95
+7.9%
13.0%€137.07€83.16n/a19
Nov ’24€86.50
€104.56
+20.9%
13.2%€141.96€86.12€85.0020
Oct ’24€92.00
€100.26
+9.0%
10.4%€119.91€81.20€83.5020
Sep ’24€90.00
€97.32
+8.1%
10.2%€116.56€78.93€91.0020
Aug ’24€91.50
€95.96
+4.9%
10.4%€115.20€78.01€93.0020
Jul ’24€78.00
€92.52
+18.6%
9.3%€116.36€78.79€99.0020
Jun ’24€76.00
€93.70
+23.3%
10.8%€121.30€80.25€117.0019
May ’24€77.00
€91.12
+18.3%
10.7%€117.72€77.87€113.0019
Apr ’24€84.50
€94.65
+12.0%
11.0%€122.08€80.76€112.0019
Mar ’24€87.00
€94.65
+8.8%
11.0%€122.08€80.76€107.0019
Feb ’24€84.50
€90.10
+6.6%
10.2%€105.79€73.59€100.0017
Jan ’24€72.50
€83.98
+15.8%
10.8%€108.58€68.33€100.0018
Dec ’23€84.50
€88.46
+4.7%
11.9%€112.35€70.70€94.5018
Nov ’23€82.50
€89.83
+8.9%
12.4%€114.46€73.94€86.5019

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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