Amotiv Limited

DB:GUQ0 Stock Report

Market Cap: €876.4m

Amotiv Valuation

Is GUQ0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GUQ0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GUQ0 (€6.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GUQ0 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GUQ0?

Key metric: As GUQ0 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GUQ0. This is calculated by dividing GUQ0's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GUQ0's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.1x
EarningsAU$99.81m
Market CapAU$1.41b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GUQ0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GUQ0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.4x
SFQ SAF-Holland
7.8x14.3%€603.7m
ED4 EDAG Engineering Group
9.1x18.8%€191.0m
SHA0 Schaeffler
27.9x71.5%€4.0b
NVM Novem Group
8.8x17.2%€249.6m
GUQ0 Amotiv
14.1x8.3%€1.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GUQ0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the peer average (13.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GUQ0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GUQ0 14.1xIndustry Avg. 9.1xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GUQ0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (9.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GUQ0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GUQ0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.1x
Fair PE Ratio6.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GUQ0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GUQ0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.10
€7.93
+30.1%
6.6%€8.81€6.61n/a12
Nov ’25€6.30
€7.93
+25.9%
6.6%€8.81€6.61n/a12
Oct ’25€6.45
€7.96
+23.4%
6.8%€8.91€6.68n/a11
Sep ’25€6.35
€7.72
+21.6%
6.7%€8.67€6.51n/a12
Aug ’25€6.39
€7.73
+21.0%
7.6%€8.83€6.23n/a12
Jul ’25€6.60
€8.13
+23.1%
5.5%€9.09€7.47n/a10
Jun ’25€6.45
€7.99
+23.9%
5.3%€8.93€7.34n/a11
May ’25€6.20
€7.99
+28.9%
6.1%€9.20€7.29n/a11
Apr ’25€7.00
€7.80
+11.5%
7.9%€9.14€6.60n/a11
Mar ’25€6.70
€7.80
+16.5%
7.9%€9.14€6.60n/a11
Feb ’25€7.25
€7.83
+8.0%
6.7%€8.61€6.82n/a9
Jan ’25€7.30
€7.93
+8.7%
6.5%€8.75€6.93n/a9
Dec ’24€6.60
€7.65
+16.0%
6.0%€8.35€6.82n/a9
Nov ’24€6.45
€7.58
+17.6%
6.0%€8.27€6.76€6.309
Oct ’24€7.15
€7.76
+8.6%
7.3%€8.60€6.80€6.459
Sep ’24€7.15
€7.55
+5.6%
7.1%€8.39€6.64€6.359
Aug ’24€5.85
€7.16
+22.4%
7.8%€8.39€6.34€6.399
Jul ’24€5.35
€7.25
+35.6%
7.4%€8.57€6.48€6.609
Jun ’24€5.30
€7.23
+36.3%
7.7%€8.52€6.43€6.458
May ’24€5.60
€7.12
+27.2%
8.2%€8.40€6.34€6.207
Apr ’24€6.00
€7.24
+20.6%
12.0%€8.72€5.52€7.007
Mar ’24€6.35
€7.40
+16.6%
11.3%€8.94€5.66€6.708
Feb ’24€5.35
€7.14
+33.5%
15.6%€8.87€5.29€7.258
Jan ’24€4.72
€7.14
+51.3%
15.6%€8.87€5.29€7.308
Dec ’23€5.25
€7.29
+38.9%
15.5%€9.08€5.63€6.608
Nov ’23€5.20
€7.29
+40.2%
15.5%€9.08€5.63€6.458

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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