Amotiv Valuation

Is GUQ0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GUQ0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GUQ0 (€6.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GUQ0 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GUQ0?

Key metric: As GUQ0 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GUQ0. This is calculated by dividing GUQ0's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GUQ0's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.9x
EarningsAU$99.81m
Market CapAU$1.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GUQ0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GUQ0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.2x
SFQ SAF-Holland
8.7x14.2%€675.5m
SHA0 Schaeffler
28.2x73.0%€4.1b
NVM Novem Group
7.8x17.2%€218.6m
ED4 EDAG Engineering Group
8.2x18.8%€172.5m
GUQ0 Amotiv
14.9x8.3%€1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GUQ0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the peer average (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GUQ0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GUQ0 14.9xIndustry Avg. 9.6xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GUQ0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (9.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GUQ0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GUQ0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.9x
Fair PE Ratio6.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GUQ0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GUQ0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.25
€7.77
+24.4%
6.6%€8.63€6.47n/a12
Dec ’25€6.30
€7.93
+25.9%
6.6%€8.81€6.61n/a12
Nov ’25€6.30
€7.93
+25.9%
6.6%€8.81€6.61n/a12
Oct ’25€6.45
€7.96
+23.4%
6.8%€8.91€6.68n/a11
Sep ’25€6.35
€7.73
+21.8%
6.7%€8.69€6.52n/a12
Aug ’25€6.39
€7.73
+21.0%
7.6%€8.83€6.23n/a12
Jul ’25€6.60
€8.13
+23.1%
5.5%€9.09€7.47n/a10
Jun ’25€6.45
€7.99
+23.9%
5.3%€8.93€7.34n/a11
May ’25€6.20
€7.99
+28.9%
6.1%€9.20€7.29n/a11
Apr ’25€7.00
€7.80
+11.5%
7.9%€9.14€6.60n/a11
Mar ’25€6.70
€7.80
+16.5%
7.9%€9.14€6.60n/a11
Feb ’25€7.25
€7.83
+8.0%
6.7%€8.61€6.82n/a9
Jan ’25€7.30
€7.93
+8.7%
6.5%€8.75€6.93€6.259
Dec ’24€6.60
€7.65
+16.0%
6.0%€8.35€6.82€6.309
Nov ’24€6.45
€7.58
+17.6%
6.0%€8.27€6.76€6.309
Oct ’24€7.15
€7.76
+8.6%
7.3%€8.60€6.80€6.459
Sep ’24€7.15
€7.55
+5.6%
7.1%€8.39€6.64€6.359
Aug ’24€5.85
€7.16
+22.4%
7.8%€8.39€6.34€6.399
Jul ’24€5.35
€7.25
+35.6%
7.4%€8.57€6.48€6.609
Jun ’24€5.30
€7.23
+36.3%
7.7%€8.52€6.43€6.458
May ’24€5.60
€7.12
+27.2%
8.2%€8.40€6.34€6.207
Apr ’24€6.00
€7.24
+20.6%
12.0%€8.72€5.52€7.007
Mar ’24€6.35
€7.40
+16.6%
11.3%€8.94€5.66€6.708
Feb ’24€5.35
€7.14
+33.5%
15.6%€8.87€5.29€7.258
Jan ’24€4.72
€7.14
+51.3%
15.6%€8.87€5.29€7.308

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 10:24
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Amotiv Limited is covered by 23 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Sam HaddadBell Potter
Andrew HodgeCanaccord Genuity
Matthew NicholasCGS International