Lucid Group Valuation

Is CH2A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CH2A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CH2A's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CH2A's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CH2A?

Key metric: As CH2A is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CH2A. This is calculated by dividing CH2A's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CH2A's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio8.9x
SalesUS$730.51m
Market CapUS$6.53b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CH2A's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CH2A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
0.3x2.3%€42.6b
VOW3 Volkswagen
0.1x2.0%€40.9b
P911 Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
1.4x5.2%€53.6b
MBG Mercedes-Benz Group
0.3x1.2%€49.9b
CH2A Lucid Group
8.9x43.9%€6.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CH2A is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.9x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CH2A's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CH2A 8.9xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies6PS00.40.81.21.62+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CH2A is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.9x) compared to the European Auto industry average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CH2A's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CH2A PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8.9x
Fair PS Ratio0.007x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CH2A is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CH2A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.06
€2.69
+30.6%
29.0%€3.99€1.19n/a10
Nov ’25€2.07
€2.94
+42.1%
24.4%€3.86€1.62n/a10
Oct ’25€2.97
€2.86
-3.6%
24.5%€3.74€1.57n/a10
Sep ’25€3.59
€2.90
-19.2%
22.0%€3.66€1.60n/a12
Aug ’25€3.00
€2.82
-6.1%
21.2%€3.67€1.61n/a12
Jul ’25€2.48
€2.81
+13.2%
21.0%€3.72€1.63n/a12
Jun ’25€2.59
€2.81
+8.2%
21.0%€3.72€1.63n/a12
May ’25€2.27
€3.07
+34.8%
21.9%€3.75€1.64n/a13
Apr ’25€2.67
€3.12
+16.8%
23.9%€4.15€1.62n/a12
Mar ’25€3.02
€3.39
+12.4%
30.1%€5.54€1.61n/a11
Feb ’25€3.10
€4.30
+38.9%
29.2%€6.43€2.07n/a12
Jan ’25€3.92
€4.55
+16.1%
23.9%€6.50€2.79n/a12
Dec ’24€3.83
€4.47
+16.7%
25.0%€6.39€2.74n/a11
Nov ’24€3.80
€6.25
+64.4%
31.6%€9.45€3.31€2.0712
Oct ’24€5.32
€6.78
+27.4%
24.8%€9.35€4.67€2.9712
Sep ’24€5.72
€6.80
+18.8%
26.0%€9.19€4.59€3.5910
Aug ’24€6.66
€7.43
+11.7%
25.3%€10.85€4.52€3.009
Jul ’24€6.57
€8.25
+25.6%
28.9%€11.23€4.68€2.488
Jun ’24€6.11
€8.25
+34.9%
28.9%€11.23€4.68€2.598
May ’24€7.27
€9.22
+26.8%
32.1%€14.52€4.54€2.279
Apr ’24€7.45
€9.84
+32.1%
29.7%€14.91€4.66€2.678
Mar ’24€8.00
€10.14
+26.8%
29.0%€15.09€4.72€3.028
Feb ’24n/a
€12.77
0%
31.2%€16.59€4.61€3.107
Jan ’24n/a
€16.31
0%
30.8%€24.47€9.41€3.926
Dec ’23n/a
€16.08
0%
33.6%€25.18€9.69€3.835
Nov ’23n/a
€24.18
0%
31.2%€36.53€12.18€3.806

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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