CIE Automotive Valuation

Is CAD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CAD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CAD (€24.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€72.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CAD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CAD?

Key metric: As CAD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CAD. This is calculated by dividing CAD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CAD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.6x
Earnings€312.10m
Market Cap€3.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CAD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CAD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.5x
SHA0 Schaeffler
29x71.5%€4.2b
HLE HELLA GmbH KGaA
29x17.1%€9.6b
CON Continental
12.3x23.5%€12.3b
SFQ SAF-Holland
7.7x14.3%€597.4m
CAD CIE Automotive
9.6x10.8%€3.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CAD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the peer average (19.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CAD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CAD 9.6xIndustry Avg. 9.3xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CAD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (9.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CAD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CAD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.6x
Fair PE Ratio7.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CAD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CAD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€24.95
€32.73
+31.2%
8.0%€35.11€26.00n/a9
Nov ’25€24.10
€33.40
+38.6%
8.3%€35.50€26.00n/a9
Oct ’25€25.65
€33.58
+30.9%
8.6%€36.23€26.00n/a9
Sep ’25€26.95
€33.58
+24.6%
8.6%€36.23€26.00n/a9
Aug ’25€26.30
€33.58
+27.7%
8.6%€36.23€26.00n/a9
Jul ’25€26.00
€33.36
+28.3%
9.0%€36.23€26.00n/a9
Jun ’25€27.95
€32.95
+17.9%
9.7%€36.23€26.00n/a9
May ’25€24.65
€32.17
+30.5%
10.7%€36.23€26.00n/a9
Apr ’25€26.40
€31.92
+20.9%
10.1%€35.50€26.00n/a9
Mar ’25€24.70
€31.92
+29.2%
10.1%€35.50€26.00n/a9
Feb ’25€24.44
€31.73
+29.8%
10.1%€35.50€26.00n/a9
Jan ’25€25.58
€31.62
+23.6%
10.6%€35.50€26.00n/a9
Dec ’24€25.72
€31.36
+21.9%
10.4%€35.50€26.00n/a10
Nov ’24€24.20
€31.36
+29.6%
10.4%€35.50€26.00€24.1010
Oct ’24€25.32
€31.99
+26.4%
8.9%€35.50€26.50€25.6510
Sep ’24€27.48
€31.99
+16.4%
8.9%€35.50€26.50€26.9510
Aug ’24€28.26
€31.99
+13.2%
8.9%€35.50€26.50€26.3010
Jul ’24€27.84
€31.66
+13.7%
8.5%€35.00€26.50€26.0010
Jun ’24€26.70
€31.29
+17.2%
8.7%€35.00€26.50€27.9510
May ’24€27.08
€30.44
+12.4%
8.6%€33.40€24.50€24.6510
Apr ’24€26.28
€30.44
+15.8%
8.6%€33.40€24.50€26.4010
Mar ’24€27.52
€30.20
+9.8%
8.8%€33.40€24.50€24.709
Feb ’24€27.90
€29.86
+7.0%
10.0%€34.20€23.00€24.4410
Jan ’24€24.14
€29.35
+21.6%
8.4%€34.20€24.00€25.5810
Dec ’23€24.32
€29.35
+20.7%
8.4%€34.20€24.00€25.7210
Nov ’23€25.68
€29.67
+15.6%
8.3%€34.20€24.00€24.2010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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