Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft

DB:BMW3 Stock Report

Market Cap: €42.9b

Bayerische Motoren Werke Valuation

Is BMW3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BMW3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BMW3 (€63.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€111.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BMW3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BMW3?

Key metric: As BMW3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BMW3. This is calculated by dividing BMW3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BMW3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.3x
Earnings€8.18b
Market Cap€42.87b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BMW3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BMW3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.3x
VOW3 Volkswagen
3.4x9.6%€42.8b
MBG Mercedes-Benz Group
4.7x1.7%€51.2b
P911 Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
14.3x11.3%€56.8b
PAH3 Porsche Automobil Holding
2.8x18.5%€10.8b
BMW3 Bayerische Motoren Werke
5.3x5.6%€42.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BMW3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the peer average (6.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BMW3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BMW3 5.3xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies17PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BMW3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BMW3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BMW3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.3x
Fair PE Ratio7.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BMW3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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