Rivian Automotive, Inc.

DB:99U Stock Report

Market Cap: €12.8b

Rivian Automotive Valuation

Is 99U undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 99U when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 99U's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 99U's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 99U?

Key metric: As 99U is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 99U. This is calculated by dividing 99U's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 99U's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.1x
SalesUS$4.55b
Market CapUS$13.33b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 99U's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 99U vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
VOW3 Volkswagen
0.1x1.9%€45.1b
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
0.3x2.0%€48.3b
P911 Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
1.4x5.0%€53.4b
MBG Mercedes-Benz Group
0.3x0.7%€50.8b
99U Rivian Automotive
3.1x27.5%€13.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 99U is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 99U's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
99U 3.1xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies6PS00.40.81.21.62+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 99U is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the European Auto industry average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 99U's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

99U PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.1x
Fair PS Ratio0.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 99U is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 99U forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.50
€14.51
+7.4%
22.1%€22.19€10.61n/a27
Dec ’25€12.00
€14.16
+18.0%
22.8%€21.78€10.42n/a26
Nov ’25€9.55
€15.15
+58.7%
25.6%€25.84€10.15n/a26
Oct ’25€10.00
€15.75
+57.5%
20.9%€26.96€11.68n/a26
Sep ’25€12.50
€15.82
+26.6%
22.8%€27.48€9.16n/a26
Aug ’25€14.50
€16.40
+13.1%
23.1%€27.80€9.27n/a26
Jul ’25€13.30
€16.35
+23.0%
33.3%€33.53€9.31n/a27
Jun ’25€9.90
€13.92
+40.6%
38.1%€33.15€9.21n/a25
May ’25€8.50
€15.37
+80.8%
36.4%€33.67€8.42n/a27
Apr ’25€10.60
€16.46
+55.3%
32.9%€33.21€8.30n/a27
Mar ’25€10.60
€16.99
+60.3%
32.8%€33.22€7.38n/a26
Feb ’25€14.28
€22.96
+60.8%
24.2%€36.80€13.80n/a24
Jan ’25€21.15
€24.34
+15.1%
21.8%€37.16€13.94n/a26
Dec ’24€16.40
€24.27
+48.0%
21.1%€36.55€13.71€12.0025
Nov ’24€15.20
€26.61
+75.1%
22.6%€41.57€14.17€9.5524
Oct ’24n/a
€26.71
0%
21.4%€41.00€13.98€10.0024
Sep ’24n/a
€26.22
0%
21.7%€40.08€13.66€12.5023
Aug ’24n/a
€23.75
0%
27.9%€36.42€12.75€14.5023
Jul ’24n/a
€20.91
0%
32.8%€36.65€10.08€13.3022
Jun ’24n/a
€21.90
0%
35.3%€36.99€10.17€9.9022
May ’24n/a
€24.24
0%
42.3%€52.52€12.68€8.5022
Apr ’24n/a
€29.58
0%
38.9%€59.21€15.04€10.6021
Mar ’24n/a
€30.55
0%
38.8%€59.09€15.01€10.6021
Feb ’24n/a
€35.64
0%
33.7%€57.73€17.41€14.2819
Jan ’24n/a
€42.73
0%
28.0%€65.93€21.66€21.1519
Dec ’23n/a
€45.57
0%
27.2%€67.80€22.28€16.4018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 00:17
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Rivian Automotive, Inc. is covered by 35 analysts. 25 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
George GianarikasBaird
Benjamin KalloBaird
Dan LevyBarclays