EXEDY Valuation

Is 64M undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 64M when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 64M (€28.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€54.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 64M is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 64M?

Key metric: As 64M is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 64M. This is calculated by dividing 64M's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 64M's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
SalesJP¥310.94b
Market CapJP¥178.73b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 64M's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 64M vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.3x
SFQ SAF-Holland
0.4x4.4%€690.0m
SHA0 Schaeffler
0.3x13.7%€4.1b
ZIL2 ElringKlinger
0.2x0.9%€270.2m
NVM Novem Group
0.4x4.1%€211.7m
64M EXEDY
0.6x0.6%€178.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 64M is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 64M's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
64M 0.6xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies16PS00.40.81.21.62+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 64M is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 64M's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

64M PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio0.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 64M is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 64M forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€28.80
€20.31
-29.5%
1.5%€20.62€19.99n/a2
Jan ’26€25.20
€20.31
-19.4%
1.5%€20.62€19.99n/a2
Dec ’25€26.40
€18.16
-31.2%
12.3%€20.39€15.93n/a2
Nov ’25€23.00
€18.16
-21.0%
12.3%€20.39€15.93n/a2
Oct ’25€18.50
€18.16
-1.8%
12.3%€20.39€15.93n/a2
Sep ’25€19.00
€16.37
-13.8%
12.3%€18.38€14.36n/a2
Aug ’25€18.80
€16.37
-12.9%
12.3%€18.38€14.36n/a2
Jul ’25€17.00
€16.92
-0.5%
12.3%€19.00€14.84n/a2
Jun ’25€16.90
€17.97
+6.3%
6.7%€19.17€16.77n/a2
May ’25€16.70
€17.97
+7.6%
6.7%€19.17€16.77n/a2
Apr ’25€18.10
€18.59
+2.7%
6.7%€19.83€17.35n/a2
Mar ’25€18.30
€13.14
-28.2%
11.6%€14.67€11.61n/a2
Feb ’25€17.60
€13.14
-25.3%
11.6%€14.67€11.61n/a2
Jan ’25€16.20
€13.14
-18.9%
11.6%€14.67€11.61€25.202
Dec ’24€15.40
€13.14
-14.7%
11.6%€14.67€11.61€26.402
Nov ’24€15.80
€13.30
-15.8%
9.5%€14.57€12.03€23.002
Oct ’24€16.20
€13.27
-18.1%
9.5%€14.53€12.01€18.502
Jun ’24€13.70
€12.20
-11.0%
8.6%€13.24€11.15€16.902
May ’24€12.80
€12.20
-4.7%
8.6%€13.24€11.15€16.702
Apr ’24€12.20
€12.20
-0.02%
8.6%€13.24€11.15€18.102
Mar ’24€12.30
€12.20
-0.8%
8.6%€13.24€11.15€18.302
Feb ’24€12.00
€11.97
-0.2%
5.9%€12.68€11.27€17.602
Jan ’24€11.20
€12.13
+8.3%
2.9%€12.48€11.78€16.202

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/07 08:19
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/03 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

EXEDY Corporation is covered by 7 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Masahiro AkitaCredit Suisse
Shiro SakamakiDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Ayako WatanabeIchiyoshi Research Institute Inc.