EXEDY Corporation

DB:64M Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.2b

EXEDY Valuation

Is 64M undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 64M when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 64M (€26) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€42.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 64M is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 64M?

Key metric: As 64M is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 64M. This is calculated by dividing 64M's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 64M's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
SalesJP¥310.94b
Market CapJP¥186.40b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 64M's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 64M vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.3x
SFQ SAF-Holland
0.3x4.9%€618.3m
SHA0 Schaeffler
0.3x16.7%€4.2b
ZIL2 ElringKlinger
0.1x2.1%€247.4m
NVM Novem Group
0.4x4.1%€254.7m
64M EXEDY
0.6x0.2%€186.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 64M is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 64M's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
64M 0.6xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies14PS00.40.81.21.62+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 64M is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 64M's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

64M PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio0.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 64M is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 64M forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€26.00
€18.16
-30.1%
12.3%€20.39€15.93n/a2
Nov ’25€23.00
€18.16
-21.0%
12.3%€20.39€15.93n/a2
Oct ’25€18.50
€18.16
-1.8%
12.3%€20.39€15.93n/a2
Sep ’25€19.00
€16.37
-13.8%
12.3%€18.38€14.36n/a2
Aug ’25€18.80
€16.37
-12.9%
12.3%€18.38€14.36n/a2
Jul ’25€17.00
€16.92
-0.5%
12.3%€19.00€14.84n/a2
Jun ’25€16.90
€17.97
+6.3%
6.7%€19.17€16.77n/a2
May ’25€16.70
€17.97
+7.6%
6.7%€19.17€16.77n/a2
Apr ’25€18.10
€18.59
+2.7%
6.7%€19.83€17.35n/a2
Mar ’25€18.30
€13.14
-28.2%
11.6%€14.67€11.61n/a2
Feb ’25€17.60
€13.14
-25.3%
11.6%€14.67€11.61n/a2
Jan ’25€16.20
€13.14
-18.9%
11.6%€14.67€11.61n/a2
Dec ’24€15.40
€13.14
-14.7%
11.6%€14.67€11.61n/a2
Nov ’24€15.80
€13.30
-15.8%
9.5%€14.57€12.03€23.002
Oct ’24€16.20
€13.27
-18.1%
9.5%€14.53€12.01€18.502
Jun ’24€13.70
€12.20
-11.0%
8.6%€13.24€11.15€16.902
May ’24€12.80
€12.20
-4.7%
8.6%€13.24€11.15€16.702
Apr ’24€12.20
€12.20
-0.02%
8.6%€13.24€11.15€18.102
Mar ’24€12.30
€12.20
-0.8%
8.6%€13.24€11.15€18.302
Feb ’24€12.00
€11.97
-0.2%
5.9%€12.68€11.27€17.602
Jan ’24€11.20
€12.13
+8.3%
2.9%€12.48€11.78€16.202
Dec ’23€11.40
€12.84
+12.6%
2.7%€13.19€12.49€15.402
Nov ’23€11.30
€12.84
+13.6%
2.7%€13.19€12.49€15.802

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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