Dana Incorporated

DB:4DH Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.2b

Dana Valuation

Is 4DH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4DH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4DH (€7.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4DH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4DH?

Key metric: As 4DH is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 4DH. This is calculated by dividing 4DH's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 4DH's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.1x
SalesUS$10.44b
Market CapUS$1.24b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4DH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4DH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.3x
SFQ SAF-Holland
0.3x4.9%€619.2m
SHA0 Schaeffler
0.3x16.7%€4.1b
ZIL2 ElringKlinger
0.1x2.1%€253.4m
NVM Novem Group
0.4x4.1%€253.0m
4DH Dana
0.1x2.0%€1.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4DH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 4DH's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4DH 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies14PS00.40.81.21.62+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4DH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4DH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4DH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.1x
Fair PS Ratio0.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4DH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4DH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.80
€9.52
+22.1%
21.4%€13.14€6.57n/a7
Nov ’25€7.00
€9.59
+37.0%
26.1%€14.71€6.44n/a7
Oct ’25€9.40
€11.94
+27.0%
18.7%€15.27€8.09n/a7
Sep ’25€10.00
€12.82
+28.2%
12.1%€15.56€10.99n/a7
Aug ’25€11.60
€13.11
+13.0%
11.0%€15.75€12.05n/a7
Jul ’25€11.10
€13.34
+20.1%
12.2%€16.80€11.20n/a7
Jun ’25€12.70
€13.91
+9.5%
12.8%€16.84€12.16n/a8
May ’25€11.70
€13.91
+18.9%
12.8%€16.84€12.16n/a8
Apr ’25€11.60
€13.70
+18.1%
10.5%€16.44€11.87n/a8
Mar ’25€11.40
€14.29
+25.4%
13.3%€17.52€11.99n/a8
Feb ’25€12.40
€14.65
+18.1%
13.2%€17.53€12.92n/a8
Jan ’25€13.30
€14.89
+11.9%
15.0%€19.24€12.82n/a8
Dec ’24€11.90
€14.62
+22.9%
16.5%€19.19€11.88n/a8
Nov ’24€10.70
€15.24
+42.4%
15.6%€19.84€13.23€7.008
Oct ’24€13.80
€17.70
+28.3%
10.2%€20.50€15.84€9.408
Sep ’24€14.80
€17.70
+19.6%
9.9%€20.19€15.60€10.007
Aug ’24€17.10
€17.95
+5.0%
8.5%€20.03€15.48€11.607
Jul ’24€15.30
€15.24
-0.4%
7.6%€17.32€13.67€11.107
Jun ’24€11.80
€15.24
+29.1%
7.6%€17.32€13.67€12.707
May ’24€13.20
€15.24
+15.4%
7.6%€17.32€13.67€11.707
Apr ’24€13.42
€15.50
+15.5%
9.1%€16.98€13.20€11.607
Mar ’24€14.83
€15.50
+4.5%
9.1%€16.98€13.20€11.407
Feb ’24€16.39
€15.88
-3.1%
9.2%€18.33€14.66€12.406
Jan ’24€14.20
€16.53
+16.4%
10.4%€19.23€14.17€13.306
Dec ’23€16.37
€16.53
+1.0%
10.4%€19.23€14.17€11.906
Nov ’23€15.83
€16.53
+4.5%
10.4%€19.23€14.17€10.706

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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