Toyoda Gosei Co., Ltd.

DB:11T Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.0b

Toyoda Gosei Valuation

Is 11T undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 11T when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 11T (€15.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€46.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 11T is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 11T?

Key metric: As 11T is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 11T. This is calculated by dividing 11T's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 11T's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7x
EarningsJP¥46.39b
Market CapJP¥324.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 11T's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 11T vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.6x
SHA0 Schaeffler
28.8x71.5%€4.1b
SFQ SAF-Holland
7.9x14.3%€610.1m
HLE HELLA GmbH KGaA
29.4x17.1%€9.7b
CON Continental
12.5x23.5%€12.6b
11T Toyoda Gosei
7x3.7%€324.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 11T is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the peer average (19.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 11T's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
11T 7.0xIndustry Avg. 9.4xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 11T is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (9.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 11T's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

11T PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7x
Fair PE Ratio6.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 11T is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 11T forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€15.90
€19.44
+22.3%
10.3%€22.60€16.49n/a7
Nov ’25€14.90
€20.21
+35.6%
14.5%€26.16€16.42n/a8
Oct ’25€15.40
€21.87
+42.0%
12.7%€27.23€18.87n/a7
Sep ’25€16.00
€20.42
+27.6%
14.1%€24.70€17.12n/a7
Aug ’25€16.10
€20.42
+26.8%
14.1%€24.70€17.12n/a7
Jul ’25€16.20
€20.91
+29.1%
12.8%€24.80€17.19n/a7
Jun ’25€17.60
€22.17
+26.0%
9.5%€25.20€19.34n/a7
May ’25€17.90
€23.22
+29.7%
9.5%€26.10€20.03n/a7
Apr ’25€20.00
€22.73
+13.6%
7.9%€25.72€20.21n/a7
Mar ’25€18.70
€22.18
+18.6%
7.2%€24.67€20.35n/a6
Feb ’25€17.90
€22.64
+26.5%
9.1%€25.80€19.35n/a7
Jan ’25€16.70
€22.64
+35.6%
9.1%€25.80€19.35n/a7
Dec ’24€17.90
€21.47
+19.9%
9.1%€24.45€18.34n/a7
Nov ’24€19.70
€21.90
+11.1%
10.4%€25.25€18.94€14.907
Oct ’24€20.20
€21.79
+7.9%
11.7%€25.33€17.73€15.407
Sep ’24€19.80
€20.94
+5.7%
10.7%€24.13€17.78€16.007
Aug ’24€19.30
€19.77
+2.4%
13.0%€22.53€14.24€16.107
Jul ’24€17.10
€17.44
+2.0%
12.3%€19.43€14.25€16.207
Jun ’24€14.80
€17.45
+17.9%
10.7%€19.31€14.65€17.607
May ’24€15.30
€18.50
+20.9%
10.7%€20.47€15.53€17.907
Apr ’24€15.50
€18.50
+19.4%
10.7%€20.47€15.53€20.007
Mar ’24€15.40
€18.26
+18.6%
11.0%€21.13€15.49€18.707
Feb ’24€14.90
€18.26
+22.5%
11.0%€21.13€15.49€17.907
Jan ’24€14.30
€19.15
+33.9%
11.0%€21.45€15.73€16.707
Dec ’23€15.50
€19.29
+24.5%
14.0%€22.86€15.24€17.907
Nov ’23€15.90
€19.18
+20.7%
13.4%€22.92€15.28€19.708

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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