Stock Analysis

German Exchange's October 2024 Stocks Trading Below Estimated Fair Value

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As the German market navigates through heightened caution due to escalating Middle East tensions and a potential rate cut by the European Central Bank, investors are keeping a close eye on opportunities within the DAX, which recently saw a decline of 1.81%. In this environment, identifying stocks trading below their estimated fair value can present compelling opportunities for those looking to capitalize on market inefficiencies and long-term growth potential.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Germany

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
technotrans (XTRA:TTR1)€17.45€31.1544%
init innovation in traffic systems (XTRA:IXX)€36.10€52.3131%
Gerresheimer (XTRA:GXI)€78.20€111.7130%
Formycon (XTRA:FYB)€52.70€81.5935.4%
Schaeffler (XTRA:SHA0)€4.958€6.9428.6%
Schweizer Electronic (XTRA:SCE)€3.78€7.1947.5%
elumeo (XTRA:ELB)€2.08€3.8445.9%
Your Family Entertainment (DB:RTV)€2.50€4.3642.7%
Vectron Systems (XTRA:V3S)€12.15€17.2529.6%
Basler (XTRA:BSL)€8.80€13.9136.7%

Click here to see the full list of 18 stocks from our Undervalued German Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Here's a peek at a few of the choices from the screener.

adidas (XTRA:ADS)

Overview: adidas AG, along with its subsidiaries, is engaged in the design, development, production, and marketing of athletic and sports lifestyle products across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Greater China, the Asia-Pacific region, and Latin America; it has a market cap of €42.55 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include Greater China with €3.26 billion, Latin America at €2.39 billion, and North America contributing €5.07 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 14.7%

adidas AG reported strong earnings growth in the second quarter, with net income rising to €190 million from €84 million a year ago. The company has raised its full-year guidance, expecting operating profit to reach around €1 billion despite unfavorable currency effects. Trading at 14.7% below fair value, adidas is undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis, with earnings forecasted to grow significantly faster than the German market over the next three years.

XTRA:ADS Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Deutsche Pfandbriefbank (XTRA:PBB)

Overview: Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG specializes in commercial real estate and public investment finance across Europe and the United States, with a market cap of €807.52 million.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include €223 million from Real Estate Finance and €103 million from Non-Core activities.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 13.5%

Deutsche Pfandbriefbank is trading at €6.01, approximately 13.5% below its estimated fair value of €6.94, making it undervalued based on cash flows. Despite a forecasted earnings growth rate of 40.2% annually, recent financial results show a decline in net income to €40 million for the first half of 2024 from €69 million the previous year. The bank's high level of bad loans and reliance on riskier external borrowing are concerns for investors.

XTRA:PBB Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Schaeffler (XTRA:SHA0)

Overview: Schaeffler AG, along with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells components and systems for industrial applications across Europe, the Americas, China, and the Asia Pacific; it has a market cap of €5.61 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include Automotive Technologies at €9.80 billion, Vehicle Lifetime Solutions at €2.43 billion, and Bearings & Industrial Solutions at €4.10 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 28.6%

Schaeffler is trading at €4.96, about 28.6% below its estimated fair value of €6.94, highlighting its undervaluation based on cash flows. Although earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 38.1% annually, recent results show a drop in net income to €33 million for Q2 2024 from €138 million the previous year, with profit margins also declining from 3.5% to 1.9%. The company's shares remain highly illiquid despite expected revenue growth outpacing the German market.

XTRA:SHA0 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Where To Now?

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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