KGHM Polska Miedz Valuation

Is KGH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KGH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KGH (CZK870.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CZK459.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KGH is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KGH?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

KGH key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.7x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does KGH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for KGH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
000630 Tongling Nonferrous Metals GroupLtd
0.4x9.6%CN¥50.7b
LUN Lundin Mining
2.5x5.5%CA$12.2b
358 Jiangxi Copper
0.1x5.5%HK$80.3b
FM First Quantum Minerals
1.8x15.2%CA$14.5b
KGH KGHM Polska Miedz
0.9x2.4%Kč30.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: KGH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KGH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: KGH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KGH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KGH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.9x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KGH's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KGH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentKč870.20
Kč825.64
-5.1%
28.4%Kč1,163.05Kč360.55n/a10
May ’25n/a
Kč689.89
0%
32.1%Kč1,077.65Kč361.16n/a9
Apr ’25Kč651.80
Kč575.19
-11.8%
24.2%Kč827.53Kč363.88n/a10
Mar ’25n/a
Kč548.07
0%
25.0%Kč799.11Kč351.38n/a10
Feb ’25n/a
Kč548.07
0%
25.0%Kč799.11Kč351.38n/a10
Jan ’25n/a
Kč557.29
0%
24.8%Kč798.52Kč351.12n/a10
Dec ’24Kč659.00
Kč553.42
-16.0%
24.0%Kč791.36Kč347.97n/a10
Nov ’24Kč616.40
Kč572.15
-7.2%
26.4%Kč840.99Kč388.14n/a9
Oct ’24n/a
Kč564.88
0%
23.5%Kč802.64Kč396.90n/a9
Sep ’24Kč615.00
Kč576.88
-6.2%
24.8%Kč817.14Kč404.07n/a9
Aug ’24Kč666.00
Kč584.18
-12.3%
24.9%Kč811.49Kč401.28n/a9
Jul ’24n/a
Kč596.76
0%
23.3%Kč811.99Kč401.53n/a10
Jun ’24n/a
Kč580.02
0%
23.6%Kč792.06Kč391.67Kč870.2010
May ’24n/a
Kč576.41
0%
20.6%Kč768.46Kč380.00n/a11
Apr ’24n/a
Kč558.61
0%
20.2%Kč763.16Kč377.30Kč651.8011
Mar ’24n/a
Kč562.68
0%
17.4%Kč744.28Kč374.64n/a11
Feb ’24Kč716.00
Kč564.55
-21.2%
17.5%Kč750.99Kč378.01n/a11
Jan ’24n/a
Kč607.90
0%
19.9%Kč829.48Kč388.82n/a12
Dec ’23Kč610.00
Kč573.70
-6.0%
21.9%Kč830.63Kč389.36Kč659.0012
Nov ’23n/a
Kč589.93
0%
35.0%Kč1,111.42Kč389.51Kč616.4010
Oct ’23Kč437.00
Kč643.73
+47.3%
31.6%Kč1,106.62Kč361.98n/a10
Sep ’23Kč506.00
Kč681.72
+34.7%
31.3%Kč1,112.93Kč364.04Kč615.0010
Aug ’23n/a
Kč757.12
0%
31.5%Kč1,304.61Kč454.00Kč666.0010
Jul ’23Kč658.00
Kč911.32
+38.5%
19.8%Kč1,319.63Kč633.42n/a11
Jun ’23n/a
Kč930.02
0%
19.6%Kč1,348.16Kč647.11n/a11

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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