Stock Analysis

Petrolina (Holdings)'s (CSE:PHL) Dividend Is Being Reduced To €0.01

Petrolina (Holdings) Public Ltd (CSE:PHL) is reducing its dividend to €0.01 on the 29th of Julywhich is 33% less than last year's comparable payment of €0.015. This means that the annual payment is 2.9% of the current stock price, which is lower than what the rest of the industry is paying.

View our latest analysis for Petrolina (Holdings)

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Petrolina (Holdings) Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

While yield is important, another factor to consider about a company's dividend is whether the current payout levels are feasible. Before making this announcement, Petrolina (Holdings)'s dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 22.5% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 271%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
CSE:PHL Historic Dividend June 22nd 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was €0.053, compared to the most recent full-year payment of €0.027. The dividend has shrunk at around 6.5% a year during that period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. Petrolina (Holdings)'s earnings per share has shrunk at 23% a year over the past five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 5 warning signs for Petrolina (Holdings) (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Petrolina (Holdings) not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About CSE:PHL

Petrolina (Holdings)

Engages in the import and marketing of petroleum products in Cyprus.

Proven track record and fair value.

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