Benign Growth For Louis plc (CSE:LUI) Underpins Its Share Price

By
Simply Wall St
Published
September 10, 2021
CSE:LUI
Source: Shutterstock

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.7x Louis plc (CSE:LUI) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Cyprus have P/E ratios greater than 11x and even P/E's higher than 33x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Louis over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Louis

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CSE:LUI Price Based on Past Earnings September 11th 2021
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Louis' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Louis' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 31%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 11% overall rise in EPS. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we can see why Louis is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Louis maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Louis (2 are potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Louis' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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