Stock Analysis

Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300614) 26% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

SZSE:300614
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The Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co., Ltd (SZSE:300614) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 66% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Renewable Energy industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may still consider Henan BCCY Environmental Energy as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Henan BCCY Environmental Energy

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300614 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 10th 2024

How Has Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Performed Recently?

For instance, Henan BCCY Environmental Energy's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Henan BCCY Environmental Energy, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Henan BCCY Environmental Energy's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.7% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 22% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Henan BCCY Environmental Energy's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Henan BCCY Environmental Energy's P/S

Despite the recent share price weakness, Henan BCCY Environmental Energy's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Henan BCCY Environmental Energy (including 1 which is concerning).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Henan BCCY Environmental Energy, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Henan BCCY Environmental Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.