Stock Analysis

Optimistic Investors Push Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002210) Shares Up 31% But Growth Is Lacking

SZSE:002210
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Despite an already strong run, Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002210) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 31% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 61%.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Renewable Energy industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may consider Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain as a stock not worth researching with its 26.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002210 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 24th 2024

What Does Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 39% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 17% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 7.9% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.