Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies An Hui Wenergy Company Limited (SZSE:000543) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for An Hui Wenergy
What Is An Hui Wenergy's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 An Hui Wenergy had CN¥35.5b of debt, an increase on CN¥30.2b, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥3.33b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥32.1b.
How Healthy Is An Hui Wenergy's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that An Hui Wenergy had liabilities of CN¥16.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥26.6b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.33b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.63b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥34.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥18.2b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, An Hui Wenergy would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Strangely An Hui Wenergy has a sky high EBITDA ratio of 7.9, implying high debt, but a strong interest coverage of 1k. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. Pleasingly, An Hui Wenergy is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 568% gain in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine An Hui Wenergy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last two years, An Hui Wenergy saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both An Hui Wenergy's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider An Hui Wenergy to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that An Hui Wenergy is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000543
An Hui Wenergy
Engages in the generation and supply of electricity in China.
Solid track record average dividend payer.