Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage (SHSE:600995) Is Using Debt Extensively

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SHSE:600995

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600995) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage

How Much Debt Does China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage had debt of CN¥19.9b, up from CN¥13.5b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥4.75b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥15.1b.

SHSE:600995 Debt to Equity History January 10th 2025

How Healthy Is China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage had liabilities of CN¥1.80b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥21.7b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.75b and CN¥612.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥18.2b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage has a market capitalization of CN¥30.6b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage's debt is 3.9 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 5.6 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage grew its EBIT by 3.6% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Mulling over China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. It's also worth noting that China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.